Sunday, 14 August 2011

"Falling into a state of worthless existence."

What could it possibly mean?
Up, Down, Appendices, Postscript.

Chet Baker & Diane Vavra.Music this week from Chet Baker Almost Blue ...

... a sordid and ambiguous tale.

Human flourishing: I knew it's one of the eu-words, and eventually found 'eudaimonia' at Wikipedia. Here's a strange thing though - it appears not to be in the OED (?), instead they show eudemony/eudaemony; no -ia endings at all in this zone. Curious. Unlike euphoria/euphory; euphonia/euphony; eutrapelia/eutrapely (new one on me) with both - I wish I had the full 24 volume hard-copy at hand (!).

Alexander King 1909-2007.Aurelio Peccei 1908-1984."The last thought we wish to offer is that man must explore himself - his goals and values - as much as the world he seeks to change. The dedication to both tasks must be unending. The crux of the matter is not only whether the human species will survive, but even more whether it can survive without falling into a state of worthless existence."

The last few sentences of Limits to Growth, the final two words, written in 1972 by the Executive Committee of The Club of Rome: Alexander King, Saburo Okita, Aurelio Peccei, Eduard Pestel, Hugo Thiemann, & Carroll Wilson.

The complete & original text can be found here.

What could they have meant by it, this 'worthless existence'? No idea. Not much in the potted bios and few pictures I can find of them - except that they seem to have had good lives. I imagined the opposite of human flourishing would be some disaster, some physical Armageddon or Apocalypse (or even just an apocalypse), but a spiritual death?

Is that it?

I fetched up on this phrase once before. This week I have just been standing in front of it, facing it perhaps but finding no clue ...

Voltaire, Candide & CunégondeThe last time I was in Newfoundland I imagined writing a book called Strip Mining the Human Soul. Today I am imagining another - Butting Heads with Liebniz. Iknowiknowiknow, Voltaire already did that (Candide) ... this would be a sort-of update, starting with the Metcalfe councillor who said to me one day, "You can't stand in the way of progress," and ending (hopefully) in a garden with Candide & Cunégonde.

Man walking in Liverpool, August 9 2011.Man walking in Liverpool, August 9 2011.Waltzing Matilda ... somewhere I read that 'Waltzing Matilda' was the staggering towards death of men chained to a rock in the Botany Bay (Sydney) harbour during the early days of the penal colony.

Voting with your feet ...

Hannah Arendt Sonning Prize acceptance speech, 1975: "This falling of dusk, the darkening of the public scene, however, did not take place in silence by any means. On the contrary, never was the public scene so filled with public announcements, usually quite optimistic, and the noise that moved the air was composed not only of the propaganda slogans of the two antagonistic ideologies, each promising a different wave of the future, but also by the down-to-earth statements of respectable politicians and statements from left-of-center, right-of-center, and center, all of which together had the net effect of desubstantializing every issue they touched, in addition to confusing utterly the minds of their audiences."

The lost generations which Arendt goes on to talk about are also mentioned by Isak Dinesen in Out of Africa which I am now reading ... what a gracious story! What a gracious woman! Oh, a bit condescending at times, maybe, lets her aristocratic dog off its leash too often maybe ... but delightful. This may not be true in her other writing; so I have asked the library for a few more (Anecdotes of Destiny & Seven Gothic Tales).

Economic Growth by Polyp.Economic Growth by Polyp.
I got my first look at Obama during a Democratic debate with Ms. Rodham in 2007. And my reaction was, "Right, Lucy holds the football for Steve Urkel."

Hillary Clinton aka Lucy.Barack Obama aka Steve Urkel.You can watch him rallying the consumer troops last week here (pay close attention to the pauses and stumbles). "We’ve always been and always will be a AAA country," he says. What's that? AAA? Avaricious, Astigmatic, & Arrogant? Asthmatic, Amoral, & Afogago? And later, "The values that bind us together as a nation," (values?) ditto.

Drew Westen asks, What Happened to Obama? I think he exaggerates - I watched the Inaugural Address and thought I was hearing a new narrative - it was in the months following that I stopped paying close enough attention. Hell! He got the goddam Peace Prize! Those guys know what they're doing, don't they?

The alternate headline on it is "What happened to Obama's passion?" which is telling too in a way. But yeah, what happened to him? Since he is (as he should be) the epitome of his nation.

You can see it clearly in this NYT editorial - a spectacular display of ostrich-ism and clichés.

Alek Wek in brass.As I read the comments on this editorial, it came to me that the rich may be thinking they will just dispense with the rest of the population of the planet (except of course the ones with nice tits and a winning smile) and hide - voting with their feet so to speak, in their own inimitable way, but on the other side of the street. If that's the plan they had better get a move on quick - because once the tip really hits, gated communities are not gonna be nearly enough - oh, keep out the hoi polloi, alright, no problem, but keep out the wind?

Meanwhile Stephen Harper courts the likes of Honduras' Porfirio Lobo Sosa & Columbia's Juan Manuel Santos Calderón as he busily establishes more free-trade zones. There was a hint of a hitch in the gitalong with Dilma Rouseff, but it doesn't matter - same crap-o-la different page.

And instructs his trusty sidekick Peter Kent to OK another coal-fired generating plant in Grande Cache Alberta just in time to beat his very own (lame) 'emissions regulations'. More on this later because as it turns out there is a personal angle.

A-and a new kid on the endocrine disruptor front: Perfluorooctanesulfonic acid (PFOS), a component of fire-fighting foam, active at Parts Per Billion.

Shell OilA-and Shell Oil / Royal Dutch Shell - What can you say about them? Past: They fucked over Nigeria, big time, repeatedly & violently in every orifice, over five decades and more - first well came in 1956 (Guardian: Shell has admitted liability but has a long way to go to make amends). Present: Are fucking up the North Sea as we speak (BBC: Shell fights spill near North Sea oil platform) not a blowout mind you, just bad piping, but they can't seem to either find or fix it. ... Poor wee babies! Future: Better give 'em the Beaufort Sea to fuck with then, (Shell Gets Tentative Approval to Drill in Arctic). Yeah. Right.

YEEHAW !
Two ways outa this: A. massive human die-off engineered or otherwise; or B. economic collapse (with a measure of A. depending on how fast we can get the binders on bust); pick one. Either way it's gotta be well under way by 2015.

There is also a political solution, C. - but I can't see any sign of it (but WTF do I know?). Nada. Zip. Zipp-o-la!

Not gonna be pretty. Not pretty now.

Somehow from Chet Baker to the end of Isaiah 1: "For ye shall be as an oak whose leaf fadeth, and as a garden that hath no water. And the strong shall be as tow, and the maker of it as a spark, and they shall both burn together, and none shall quench them."

on Johhny Cash's show sometime in the 60's,(The 'they shall both burn' in there is all of us AND whatever passes for an omnipotent diety - that's my reading of it.)

And on through "every junkie's like a setting sun" Neil's been singing early and late ...

Nafissatou Diallo.I have been running into phrases like this all week: "You do not understand, you will never understand." Reading Julian Barnes' The Sense of an Ending and he keeps on with, "You just don't get it, do you? But then you never did," in various formulations as a refrain at the ends of his sections.

and in 2009."You know something's happening, but you don't know what it is, do you, Mr. Jones?" Oh well ... OK. It's true then - I don't, never did, never will. And Dylan's other great judgement applies as well: "He not busy being born is busy dying."

STFU with those silly smilies! This is NOT a laughing matter. :-)And so on. Sorry about that.

Thanks to Altino Machado for putting this into motion.

Did I forget to mention that the 'darkening of the public scene' our Hannah talks about is the humus from which springs ... who knows what wierdness?

"O come, turtles, come; and eat the bastarding jellyfish." (Euan Ferguson)

Be well.

Postscript:

I wanted to throw in Gwynne Dyer's latest - here it is at Georgia Strait, with a headline - "Food crisis looms as a result of cutbacks in irrigation" - that seems to imply it is a matter of choice (?). But OK, by the time that link dies it will probably be up at his own site.

Oops - he's catching up! - it is there already: The Food Bubble.

Opa! Esqueci que hoje é Dia dos Pais. Mas o meu anjo da guarda não esqueceu de mim, não - ela enviou 'um grande beijo do tamanho do céu.' E já chegou também, um milagre - quem iria imaginar? Dentro da chuva Perseidas, entre as estrelas cadentes desta temporada foi um beijo pra mim - uma bênção de verdade. Ai ai ai. Que bom mesmo! Obrigado querida.


Appendices:

1. Britain fears its ‘rebels without a cause’, Olivia Ward, August 9 2011.

 

2. Where Will Growth Come From?, NYT Editorial, August 10 2011.

 

3. What Happened to Obama?, Drew Westen, August 6 2011.

 


Britain fears its ‘rebels without a cause’, Olivia Ward, August 9 2011.

Some came for the candy. Others carried off flat-screen TVs and smart phones. And still others heaved bricks through windows and set fire to cars in an ecstasy of violence that has terrified British onlookers.

This is not the Britain of stiff upper lips and “carry on regardless,” the country that won its reputation for pulling together during two world wars.

The riots that have smashed their way from north London to the southern and eastern suburbs, Liverpool and beyond are all the more frightening, experts say, because they have no clear cause. But they bubble up from dangerous undercurrents in society.

“This is not Britain’s Tahrir Square,” said Dan Leighton, an associate of the London political think-tank Demos. “But its very lack of political motivation makes it even more worrying — and even more political.”

The divisions of British society have widened in past decades and inequality is still growing. And with the ongoing financial crisis, and a massive media phone-hacking scandal that involves bribery of police, the British body politic has been buffeted from all sides. With the riots, it is a perfect storm.

“In Britain you have the top 1 per cent who continue to earn unimaginable money in the midst of austerity, then the squeezed middle class, and then the ‘stakelessness’ of young people who are excluded and have no respect for the norms of society,” said Leighton. “It’s a situation that has been brewing for 20 years.”

Leighton organizes for Compass, a new public interest group that created an online petition to restore the public interest, declaring that “something is unravelling before our eyes. From bankers to media-barons, private interests have bankrupted and corrupted the public realm.”

But social purpose seems irrelevant to the rioters and looters who have destroyed small businesses, homes and cars in their own neighbourhoods, also joining mobile “flash mobs” called up on BlackBerrys and social media.

“Riots are about power, and they are about catharsis,” writes 24-year-old London blogger Laura Penny. “People riot because it makes them feel powerful, even if only for a night. People riot because they have spent their whole lives being told that they are good for nothing and they realize that together they can do anything — literally anything at all.”

The volatile mix of anger, opportunism and hopelessness appears to have produced a nihilism that’s different from earlier generation riots, which focused on racial tension, police brutality or tax protests.

It is fuelled by the amorality of the “feral elites” who helped to wreck the economy, while on an endless spending spree of London’s outrageously priced luxury goods and real estate. Big-ticket items the unemployed and working poor can only view through polished windows.

“It’s trickle-down morality,” says Stephen Whitehead, a researcher with the New Economics Foundation in London. “The looters wouldn’t say they were redressing the wealth gap in a progressive political agenda. But they don’t see why they should care about doing damage when the wealthiest are rewarded for it.”

London has tried to plug the gap between rich and poor by placing public housing next door to multi-million-dollar homes. But cuts to housing benefits will soon force the poorest out to the perimeters.

“Rich and poor may be living side by side but it only makes the everyday inequality more obvious,” says philosophy lecturer Nina Power of Roehampton University a campaigner for students’ rights. “The New Labour government pushed personal debt, credit cards and student loans to keep the economy going. But the 2008 (meltdown) ended all that.

“Now there are no positive programs, and no big ideas of what society should be like. If people are stealing it’s not just mindless theft. They have got the consumerist thing, but without any money. They can get things they want, and sell them to make money. But it’s not just the ‘I want’ mentality. Some believe there’s no other way.”


Where Will Growth Come From?, NYT Editorial, August 10 2011.

Never has the world economy depended so much on the success of developing nations. A misguided focus on budget cutting has plunged the European Union and the United States down paths that will prolong their economic stagnation and perhaps tip them into another recession. The International Monetary Fund was forecasting 2 percent growth in the euro zone before the financial crisis spread to Italy. The Japanese economy is shrinking. Some top economists put the odds of a double-dip recession in the United States at 1 in 2.

These dire prospects, along with the realization that economic policy is blocked by political gridlock in the United States and complacency in Europe, have sent spasms through financial markets, which could further sap growth. Fortunately, developing countries, which account for almost half the globe’s economic output, are growing faster than the industrialized world: in June the I.M.F. forecast that they would grow some 6.5 percent this year and next. Their growth spares the world utter economic stagnation.

Yet developing countries are not robust enough to keep the global economy from sinking in a morass for long. Their economies remain vulnerable to financial turbulence and economic weakness in wealthy nations.

Even a flood of money moving to developing nations, as investors react to the lack of growth in the industrial world, would create new challenges. It would stoke inflation and asset bubbles in developing economies: annual inflation in Brazil is running at 6.85 percent. And it would push up the value of their currencies, hindering exports.

China, the biggest developing economy, is still more a caboose than a growth engine, dependent on rich countries to buy more than 40 percent of its exports. In 2009, China led efforts to help the global recovery, investing heavily in infrastructure and boosting consumer spending, but today it is taking the opposite tack and trying to combat inflation, which is running at 6.4 percent.

To keep its goods cheap, it has allowed its currency to rise only about 6 percent against the dollar since June 2010, even as the dollar has plunged against other currencies. Last month, the I.M.F. called on China to help global growth by letting the currency appreciate more rapidly, which would make Chinese goods more expensive around the world and give a break to competing manufacturers.

China has so far resisted that advice. It lashed out at economic mismanagement in Washington after the Standard & Poor’s downgrade, which could potentially reduce the value of its $1.1 trillion stash of American Treasury bonds. Rather than berate Washington, it should abandon its currency manipulation. China’s leaders have said they want to put more money in the hands of consumers through social programs and higher wages, and to rely less on exports. They can do this without stoking inflation by allowing the renminbi to rise significantly.

The burden of global growth cannot be placed on China alone. Germany has the third-largest trade surplus in the world, after China and Japan, sapping growth in its European neighbors. The United States and the European Union must focus more on spurring economic growth. They should have all along.


What Happened to Obama?, Drew Westen, August 6 2011.

Drew Westen is a professor of psychology at Emory University.

Atlanta

IT was a blustery day in Washington on Jan. 20, 2009, as it often seems to be on the day of a presidential inauguration. As I stood with my 8-year-old daughter, watching the president deliver his inaugural address, I had a feeling of unease. It wasn’t just that the man who could be so eloquent had seemingly chosen not to be on this auspicious occasion, although that turned out to be a troubling harbinger of things to come. It was that there was a story the American people were waiting to hear — and needed to hear — but he didn’t tell it. And in the ensuing months he continued not to tell it, no matter how outrageous the slings and arrows his opponents threw at him.

The stories our leaders tell us matter, probably almost as much as the stories our parents tell us as children, because they orient us to what is, what could be, and what should be; to the worldviews they hold and to the values they hold sacred. Our brains evolved to “expect” stories with a particular structure, with protagonists and villains, a hill to be climbed or a battle to be fought. Our species existed for more than 100,000 years before the earliest signs of literacy, and another 5,000 years would pass before the majority of humans would know how to read and write.

Stories were the primary way our ancestors transmitted knowledge and values. Today we seek movies, novels and “news stories” that put the events of the day in a form that our brains evolved to find compelling and memorable. Children crave bedtime stories; the holy books of the three great monotheistic religions are written in parables; and as research in cognitive science has shown, lawyers whose closing arguments tell a story win jury trials against their legal adversaries who just lay out “the facts of the case.”

When Barack Obama rose to the lectern on Inauguration Day, the nation was in tatters. Americans were scared and angry. The economy was spinning in reverse. Three-quarters of a million people lost their jobs that month. Many had lost their homes, and with them the only nest eggs they had. Even the usually impervious upper middle class had seen a decade of stagnant or declining investment, with the stock market dropping in value with no end in sight. Hope was as scarce as credit.

In that context, Americans needed their president to tell them a story that made sense of what they had just been through, what caused it, and how it was going to end. They needed to hear that he understood what they were feeling, that he would track down those responsible for their pain and suffering, and that he would restore order and safety. What they were waiting for, in broad strokes, was a story something like this:

“I know you’re scared and angry. Many of you have lost your jobs, your homes, your hope. This was a disaster, but it was not a natural disaster. It was made by Wall Street gamblers who speculated with your lives and futures. It was made by conservative extremists who told us that if we just eliminated regulations and rewarded greed and recklessness, it would all work out. But it didn’t work out. And it didn’t work out 80 years ago, when the same people sold our grandparents the same bill of goods, with the same results. But we learned something from our grandparents about how to fix it, and we will draw on their wisdom. We will restore business confidence the old-fashioned way: by putting money back in the pockets of working Americans by putting them back to work, and by restoring integrity to our financial markets and demanding it of those who want to run them. I can’t promise that we won’t make mistakes along the way. But I can promise you that they will be honest mistakes, and that your government has your back again.” A story isn’t a policy. But that simple narrative — and the policies that would naturally have flowed from it — would have inoculated against much of what was to come in the intervening two and a half years of failed government, idled factories and idled hands. That story would have made clear that the president understood that the American people had given Democrats the presidency and majorities in both houses of Congress to fix the mess the Republicans and Wall Street had made of the country, and that this would not be a power-sharing arrangement. It would have made clear that the problem wasn’t tax-and-spend liberalism or the deficit — a deficit that didn’t exist until George W. Bush gave nearly $2 trillion in tax breaks largely to the wealthiest Americans and squandered $1 trillion in two wars.

[2]

And perhaps most important, it would have offered a clear, compelling alternative to the dominant narrative of the right, that our problem is not due to spending on things like the pensions of firefighters, but to the fact that those who can afford to buy influence are rewriting the rules so they can cut themselves progressively larger slices of the American pie while paying less of their fair share for it.

But there was no story — and there has been none since.

In similar circumstances, Franklin D. Roosevelt offered Americans a promise to use the power of his office to make their lives better and to keep trying until he got it right. Beginning in his first inaugural address, and in the fireside chats that followed, he explained how the crash had happened, and he minced no words about those who had caused it. He promised to do something no president had done before: to use the resources of the United States to put Americans directly to work, building the infrastructure we still rely on today. He swore to keep the people who had caused the crisis out of the halls of power, and he made good on that promise. In a 1936 speech at Madison Square Garden, he thundered, “Never before in all our history have these forces been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me — and I welcome their hatred.”

When Barack Obama stepped into the Oval Office, he stepped into a cycle of American history, best exemplified by F.D.R. and his distant cousin, Teddy. After a great technological revolution or a major economic transition, as when America changed from a nation of farmers to an urban industrial one, there is often a period of great concentration of wealth, and with it, a concentration of power in the wealthy. That’s what we saw in 1928, and that’s what we see today. At some point that power is exercised so injudiciously, and the lives of so many become so unbearable, that a period of reform ensues — and a charismatic reformer emerges to lead that renewal. In that sense, Teddy Roosevelt started the cycle of reform his cousin picked up 30 years later, as he began efforts to bust the trusts and regulate the railroads, exercise federal power over the banks and the nation’s food supply, and protect America’s land and wildlife, creating the modern environmental movement.

Those were the shoes — that was the historic role — that Americans elected Barack Obama to fill. The president is fond of referring to “the arc of history,” paraphrasing the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.’s famous statement that “the arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice.” But with his deep-seated aversion to conflict and his profound failure to understand bully dynamics — in which conciliation is always the wrong course of action, because bullies perceive it as weakness and just punch harder the next time — he has broken that arc and has likely bent it backward for at least a generation.

When Dr. King spoke of the great arc bending toward justice, he did not mean that we should wait for it to bend. He exhorted others to put their full weight behind it, and he gave his life speaking with a voice that cut through the blistering force of water cannons and the gnashing teeth of police dogs. He preached the gospel of nonviolence, but he knew that whether a bully hid behind a club or a poll tax, the only effective response was to face the bully down, and to make the bully show his true and repugnant face in public.

IN contrast, when faced with the greatest economic crisis, the greatest levels of economic inequality, and the greatest levels of corporate influence on politics since the Depression, Barack Obama stared into the eyes of history and chose to avert his gaze. Instead of indicting the people whose recklessness wrecked the economy, he put them in charge of it. He never explained that decision to the public — a failure in storytelling as extraordinary as the failure in judgment behind it. Had the president chosen to bend the arc of history, he would have told the public the story of the destruction wrought by the dismantling of the New Deal regulations that had protected them for more than half a century. He would have offered them a counternarrative of how to fix the problem other than the politics of appeasement, one that emphasized creating economic demand and consumer confidence by putting consumers back to work. He would have had to stare down those who had wrecked the economy, and he would have had to tolerate their hatred if not welcome it. But the arc of his temperament just didn’t bend that far.

[3]

The truly decisive move that broke the arc of history was his handling of the stimulus. The public was desperate for a leader who would speak with confidence, and they were ready to follow wherever the president led. Yet instead of indicting the economic policies and principles that had just eliminated eight million jobs, in the most damaging of the tic-like gestures of compromise that have become the hallmark of his presidency — and against the advice of multiple Nobel-Prize-winning economists — he backed away from his advisers who proposed a big stimulus, and then diluted it with tax cuts that had already been shown to be inert. The result, as predicted in advance, was a half-stimulus that half-stimulated the economy. That, in turn, led the White House to feel rightly unappreciated for having saved the country from another Great Depression but in the unenviable position of having to argue a counterfactual — that something terrible might have happened had it not half-acted.

To the average American, who was still staring into the abyss, the half-stimulus did nothing but prove that Ronald Reagan was right, that government is the problem. In fact, the average American had no idea what Democrats were trying to accomplish by deficit spending because no one bothered to explain it to them with the repetition and evocative imagery that our brains require to make an idea, particularly a paradoxical one, “stick.” Nor did anyone explain what health care reform was supposed to accomplish (other than the unbelievable and even more uninspiring claim that it would “bend the cost curve”), or why “credit card reform” had led to an increase in the interest rates they were already struggling to pay. Nor did anyone explain why saving the banks was such a priority, when saving the homes the banks were foreclosing didn’t seem to be. All Americans knew, and all they know today, is that they’re still unemployed, they’re still worried about how they’re going to pay their bills at the end of the month and their kids still can’t get a job. And now the Republicans are chipping away at unemployment insurance, and the president is making his usual impotent verbal exhortations after bargaining it away.

What makes the “deficit debate” we just experienced seem so surreal is how divorced the conversation in Washington has been from conversations around the kitchen table everywhere else in America. Although I am a scientist by training, over the last several years, as a messaging consultant to nonprofit groups and Democratic leaders, I have studied the way voters think and feel, talking to them in plain language. At this point, I have interacted in person or virtually with more than 50,000 Americans on a range of issues, from taxes and deficits to abortion and immigration.

The average voter is far more worried about jobs than about the deficit, which few were talking about while Bush and the Republican Congress were running it up. The conventional wisdom is that Americans hate government, and if you ask the question in the abstract, people will certainly give you an earful about what government does wrong. But if you give them the choice between cutting the deficit and putting Americans back to work, it isn’t even close. But it’s not just jobs. Americans don’t share the priorities of either party on taxes, budgets or any of the things Congress and the president have just agreed to slash — or failed to slash, like subsidies to oil companies. When it comes to tax cuts for the wealthy, Americans are united across the political spectrum, supporting a message that says, “In times like these, millionaires ought to be giving to charity, not getting it.”

When pitted against a tough budget-cutting message straight from the mouth of its strongest advocates, swing voters vastly preferred a message that began, “The best way to reduce the deficit is to put Americans back to work.” This statement is far more consistent with what many economists are saying publicly — and what investors apparently believe, as evident in the nosedive the stock market took after the president and Congress “saved” the economy.

So where does that leave us?

[4]

Like most Americans, at this point, I have no idea what Barack Obama — and by extension the party he leads — believes on virtually any issue. The president tells us he prefers a “balanced” approach to deficit reduction, one that weds “revenue enhancements” (a weak way of describing popular taxes on the rich and big corporations that are evading them) with “entitlement cuts” (an equally poor choice of words that implies that people who’ve worked their whole lives are looking for handouts). But the law he just signed includes only the cuts. This pattern of presenting inconsistent positions with no apparent recognition of their incoherence is another hallmark of this president’s storytelling. He announces in a speech on energy and climate change that we need to expand offshore oil drilling and coal production — two methods of obtaining fuels that contribute to the extreme weather Americans are now seeing. He supports a health care law that will use Medicaid to insure about 15 million more Americans and then endorses a budget plan that, through cuts to state budgets, will most likely decimate Medicaid and other essential programs for children, senior citizens and people who are vulnerable by virtue of disabilities or an economy that is getting weaker by the day. He gives a major speech on immigration reform after deporting around 800,000 immigrants in two years, a pace faster than nearly any other period in American history.

THE real conundrum is why the president seems so compelled to take both sides of every issue, encouraging voters to project whatever they want on him, and hoping they won’t realize which hand is holding the rabbit. That a large section of the country views him as a socialist while many in his own party are concluding that he does not share their values speaks volumes — but not the volumes his advisers are selling: that if you make both the right and left mad, you must be doing something right.

As a practicing psychologist with more than 25 years of experience, I will resist the temptation to diagnose at a distance, but as a scientist and strategic consultant I will venture some hypotheses.

The most charitable explanation is that he and his advisers have succumbed to a view of electoral success to which many Democrats succumb — that “centrist” voters like “centrist” politicians. Unfortunately, reality is more complicated. Centrist voters prefer honest politicians who help them solve their problems. A second possibility is that he is simply not up to the task by virtue of his lack of experience and a character defect that might not have been so debilitating at some other time in history. Those of us who were bewitched by his eloquence on the campaign trail chose to ignore some disquieting aspects of his biography: that he had accomplished very little before he ran for president, having never run a business or a state; that he had a singularly unremarkable career as a law professor, publishing nothing in 12 years at the University of Chicago other than an autobiography; and that, before joining the United States Senate, he had voted "present" (instead of "yea" or "nay") 130 times, sometimes dodging difficult issues.

A somewhat less charitable explanation is that we are a nation that is being held hostage not just by an extremist Republican Party but also by a president who either does not know what he believes or is willing to take whatever position he thinks will lead to his re-election. Perhaps those of us who were so enthralled with the magnificent story he told in “Dreams From My Father” appended a chapter at the end that wasn’t there — the chapter in which he resolves his identity and comes to know who he is and what he believes in.

Or perhaps, like so many politicians who come to Washington, he has already been consciously or unconsciously corrupted by a system that tests the souls even of people of tremendous integrity, by forcing them to dial for dollars — in the case of the modern presidency, for hundreds of millions of dollars. When he wants to be, the president is a brilliant and moving speaker, but his stories virtually always lack one element: the villain who caused the problem, who is always left out, described in impersonal terms, or described in passive voice, as if the cause of others’ misery has no agency and hence no culpability. Whether that reflects his aversion to conflict, an aversion to conflict with potential campaign donors that today cripples both parties’ ability to govern and threatens our democracy, or both, is unclear.

A final explanation is that he ran for president on two contradictory platforms: as a reformer who would clean up the system, and as a unity candidate who would transcend the lines of red and blue. He has pursued the one with which he is most comfortable given the constraints of his character, consistently choosing the message of bipartisanship over the message of confrontation.

But the arc of history does not bend toward justice through capitulation cast as compromise. It does not bend when 400 people control more of the wealth than 150 million of their fellow Americans. It does not bend when the average middle-class family has seen its income stagnate over the last 30 years while the richest 1 percent has seen its income rise astronomically. It does not bend when we cut the fixed incomes of our parents and grandparents so hedge fund managers can keep their 15 percent tax rates. It does not bend when only one side in negotiations between workers and their bosses is allowed representation. And it does not bend when, as political scientists have shown, it is not public opinion but the opinions of the wealthy that predict the votes of the Senate. The arc of history can bend only so far before it breaks.


Down.

Sunday, 7 August 2011

cum qua non

(opposite of sine qua non ?)
Up, Down, Appendices, Postscript.

There's sine qua non - 'that without which there is nothing,' the indispensable and essential ingredient, or the raison d'être maybe. But what is the opposite Latin nomenclature I wonder? 'That with which there is nothing.' (Nevermind the subtle impossibility of such a state.) Could it be cum qua non? The 'cum' gives it a certain Fugs flavour ... and I like that.

Martin Rowson - Together into the broad, sunlit uplands ...Martin Rowson - 'The Deerhunter' revisited.A few recent frames from Martin Rowson. 'Broad, sunlit uplands' comes from a 1940 speech by Winston Churchill: Their Finest Hour.

The cum qua non I am thinking of at first is billionaires: H. grǽdum, from old Anglo-Saxon grǽd, but I like the 'gray-dumb' homonym too.

A-and for background music I put this playlist together: of Mike Oldfield, The Penguin Café Orchestra, Samuel Barber's Adiago for Strings  :-)(soppy maybe, but it could have been worse - in a fit of kitchen-sink-ism I nearly threw in the New World Symphony as well), and finishing up with more Mike Oldfield as he echoes Michael Praetorius à la Ezra Pound.

War Machine, Matt Mahurin.War Machine, Matt Mahurin.
His title was not 'War Machine' - I made that up - it was something about Iraq ... Matt Mahurin, a remarkable illustrator, you can see more on his website.

All this idle chitter-chatter about the U.S. 'Debt Ceiling' and hardly a word about billionaires? The left-libs trash-talk the Tea Partiers for not understanding Keynesian economics, for being 'stupid,' but it seems to me that living humbly within your means is an ideal that might even ... begin to heal the environment(?).

As if the left-libs know (or can even see) anything beyond their own umbilical entitlements. Left-libs, and fat cats too, take note: as one gets fatter and fatter, the abdominal musculature thins and weakens, and umbilical hernias become more likely and frequent.

Two more Matt Mahurin images - these are thumbnails, click on them to see entire:

Sexual Harassment, Matt Mahurin.Sexual Harassment, Matt Mahurin.
Rape, Matt Mahurin.Rape, Matt Mahurin.
When it comes to rape (which is in the same shoebox as Sexual Harassment to me, matter of degree) I wonder if there isn't a missing metrosexual element in these images? Oh iknowiknowiknow ... it is men who rape women, blah blah blah ... I am just wondering about a more universal framing of the thing, a more general statement, because what humanity is doing to the planet looks like rape to me, except that the planet is not exactly female is it? James Lovelock and Caetano Veloso notwithstanding. Miss Jodie is catchin' on though.

Nor are all the rapists men - Obama's billionaire beneficiaries are not operating in sexual terms are they? They will do anyone, regardless of race creed sex age - what-fucking-ever! A-and there are lots of female billionaires out there, not all of it inherited - Alice Walton, Abigail Johnson, Anne Chambers ... and more aspiring ... So.

(When I think about Caetano I want to hear Terra. Here are three versions: 2008 maybe, and this and this from the late 70's I think. You can find the lyrics with a translation here.)

Yes, rape: that mélange of inside-out inverted sex, power, greed, violence, insecurity ... that's what's goin' on. And sure as fuck'n be'jeesus there's worse comin'.

"Winter is icumen in, lhude sing Goddamm."

The Spur, 164 Water Street, St. John's in 2003.Sometime later, maybe 2008 or 2009.Sometime later, maybe 2008 or 2009.Down the alley is the door to the stair to the Bar None.Now called Scanlan's.The Spur, 164 Water Street, St. John's - I spent some time there over the years reading my paper in the afternoon over a couple or three double Jameson's.

Then last week I got invited to the book release of God Help Thee: A Manifesto by Joel Thomas Hynes. I couldn't go, but you can watch part of the performance here.

I saw Pius Power Jr. deliver a similar rant (at very close range) directly into the face of the local MHA (Member of the House of Assembly) one afternoon, Murphy I think the guy's name was, chased 'im right off a wharf in South East Bight where he was stumping for votes, scuttled down the risins like a rat he went and back away in his float plane ... and it still warms my heart to think of it.

The title God Help Thee is probably a reference to the last verse of the Ode to Newfoundland which goes:
As loved our fathers, so we love,
Where once they stood, we stand.
Their prayer we raise to Heaven above,
God guard thee, Newfoundland;
God guard thee, God guard thee, God guard thee, Newfoundland.


You can listen here to Anita Best singing it.
Not knowing anything about the guy, I got Right away Monday, his 2007 novel. I had a little trouble getting started ... BUT ... The Spur began to figgure into it (!) - a denizen of The Spur with lots of shit to pour out upon both the head & the feet (and everything inbetween) of George Street can't be all bad - so I soldiered onwards. In the end the book was a silliness to me, but I am happy for him. He's gotten a place up in Trinity Bay out of it apparently - right handy to the yuppy cinema village I'll wager. All good.

His other one, Down to the Dirt from 2004 is coming eventually. I watched the movie in the meantime which ... seemed to run in a closed circle (?) ... more to say when I have read the book maybe ... [I've read it, more of the same, like he says himself, if you can sell words by the pound then ... why not?]

You can locate a Newfoundlander within his or her culture on how she or he deals with the 'Screech In' ritual (which is recently invented & entirely bogus, the cum qua non as it were). Here's Hynes' take on it, expressed through one of his characters, Monica, here it is. You can read this very carefully and still not know exactly what Joel Hynes thinks about it. He doesn't 'fuck' it in his manifesto either as far as I can remember. Attaboy (I guess). Keep 'em guessin'. Or maybe it's one'a them whatchamacallit ... cognitive dissonance things ... Or maybe ... 'e just don't know.

The use of the second person singular pronoun 'thee' takes us two ways: The first (and original) is a track running parallel to the French tu and Portuguese ti connoting familial intimacy - even asking the question "Voulez vous me tutoyer?" shows that a watershed moment is underway; and the second goes in the opposite direction through the KJV, or out of it at least, and brings on sacred and formal overtones. The intimate use has disappeared entirely from English except once or twice in Lady Chatterley's Lover (but that was years ago); has mostly gone from Portuguese, in Brasil at least; and was current in French when I learned it in the 60's but I can't say what goes on now. The rise of secularism would seem to indicate that all of these forms, along with the intimate and the sacred realms they belonged to, are entirely doomed ... Who can say? (The Pope?)

The Ode to Newfoundland is still regularly sung in public - all is not lost.

As for Anglo-Saxon antidotes to grǽd, I'm good with these few bits from Thomas Pynchon's Gravity's Rainbow.

People seem to like to talk that Scanlan's has new toilets. Hynes makes a big deal about the smelly toilet in The Spur in his book. I never had a problem with it. I sez, "Fuck yer toilets!"

FAO Food Price Index to June 2011.Another month's bar on the FAO Food Price Index and the level trend continues, a plateau. I thought it was the monthly Food Price Monitor that carried this particular coloured graph, it is definitely in the Food Outlook but that's biannual (?).

So, six months of the highest food prices ever, bad enough.

The recent FAO report: Price volatility and food security tells me that "Biofuel support policies in the United States and the European Union have created a demand shock that is widely considered to be one of the major causes of the international food price rise of 2007/08," which you can see on the chart. 'Biofuel support policy' is a euphemism for 'subsidy.' Subsidies in Europe & North America amount to tax dollars, taken from the rich-enough-to-pay-taxes, given to the too-rich-to-pay-taxes, and used to increase the misery and decrease the life-spans of the truely poor who pay taxes in kind, in what a friend of mine used to call 'human coin' meaning time - in denominations of minutes, days, months, years of life.

But I am a crazy-man at this point, twisted - I like finding evidence of callous rich-country connivance in global misery. A more balanced and intelligent analysis of the report comes from Jayati Ghosh. As she repeats to us, it's not just biofuels, it is also 'speculative forces' aka commodities trading. And she also points out what it is not - it is not, as conventional wisdom holds, increased buying power in the emerging Chinese & Indian middle classes.

Dadaab, Kenya.Dadaab, Kenya.Shebelle, Somalia.Dadaab, Kenya.Dadaab, Kenya.Dadaab, Kenya.Dadaab, Kenya.Ten million people at risk of starving to death in the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia & Somalia & Kenya. Half a million in Dadaab camp alone.

Al-shabaab soldiers carrying guns. Kenyan soldiers carrying guns. Razor wire. Colour-coded wrist bands. Children with yellow hair - 'kwashiorkor' a Ghanian pun meaning 'red or yellow haired boy' and 'the dispossessed,' look at him (or her maybe), second from the left - a symptom of an extremely protein deficient diet (which includes no diet at all).

And all I can do is bone up on my geography - Google Maps is a sub-standard tool but it's there - here's my map.

Here, take another look at this kid, a girl the caption says so that's cleared up. Those eyes are lookin' right atcha eh? Here, look at all of 'em bedad. Y'all think I'm sitting here wringing my hands? Cuz I'm not. 'On the brink' they call it - that's just the way they talk in Boston.

Food for thought, or a process, or ... something:
Dow Jones 1929.Dow Jones 1930-32.Dow Jones 2007-2009.Dow Jones 2010-11.These graphs come from the 'Resource Center / Interactive Learning Center' tab on the Dow Jones website. There is also a large poster (.pdf) which tells the story in more detail up to 2008, sort of.

Why put each graph on a different y-axis? Why not calculate %'s? Percent is relevant isn't it? One wonders if the real intention of this 'Learning Center' is clarification or obfuscation? Or possibly just myth enhancement (as they say in the Viagra adverts). Anyway ... you would think that it might be useful, it should be useful ... BUT ...

Looking into it on Wikipedia: the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and then the Dow Divisor.

When it began, the index was simply the average value in $US of a representative basketful of stocks, and a 'point' was one $US. But things change over time - stocks split for example, the specific stocks included in the basket change, and so on - so the simple average has to be modified by the Dow Divisor, and the equation which is used: sum of the old Stocks / old Divisor = sum of the new Stocks / new Divisor; to keep the index the same over these changes - basically turns it into a comparison of apples and oranges, nothing but (yet another) confidence trick, a shell game.

Bollocks! ... Too harsh? It works as long as you trust the wizards behind it. But who trusts 'em? Standard & Poor's f'rinstance - trust 'em? Lehman's was rated A (with a distinctly complicated rationale here) until a week before it failed. Now they have downgraded US Treasury Bonds to AA+ - does it mean anything or are they just giving Obama paddywhacks? ... Don't mean sheeit.

Petermann Glacier August 2010.Here Titanic, try this on:

Northrop Frye liked this stuff apparently: E.J. Pratt The Titanic. Maybe they were friends. Here's the end of it (the tip - so to speak):
And out there in the starlight, with no trace
Upon it of its deed but the last wave
From the Titanic fretting at its base,
Silent, composed, ringed by its icy broods,
The grey shape with the palaeolithic face
Was still the master of the longitudes.

Petermann Glacier August 2010.Petermann Glacier August 2010.Petermann Ice Island-A (PII-A) August 2011.The tip of the Petermann Glacier broke off last August. A year later and it is sailing down the Labrador coast, coming up on the Straits of Belle Isle. A journey of 2,000 miles and more. Still three miles across - the size of Manhattan - and I can't think of a more apt comparison.

North (West?) portal of the Urnes stave church.North (West?) portal of the Urnes stave church.North (West?) portal of the Urnes stave church.They all imagine that they have their traces on this one - radio beacons up the yin-yang, satellite photographs, a nomenclature and a name for every piece - PII-A & PII-A-a and such like (the II distinguishes the 2010 island from a previous one in 2008). A fisherman from Battle Harbour took this video.




No b'y, I wants the height not the width! An' waddabout Ragnarök?

Anima Preta.Anima Preta.
This image joins my Anima pantheon. A startling photograph - if you look at it carefully you can see how carefully (or accidentally) the depth-of-field f-stop catches skin textures so exactly. Her skin? His skin? Hard to say eh? I often think to myself, "Ai ai, a minha anima, o que acha?" because I know that she (below right) comes from Altamira and probably speaks Portuguese - that picture was taken in 2005 - she must be about all grown up by now.

(It all started years ago with a movie I remember in which John Wayne talks to an invisible ex-girlfriend named Tex - except that nowhere can I find any reference to any such movie.)

Neither do I have any idea where my Anima Preta is or comes from (yes, I'm betting she's a girl), or what language she might speak - beyond the elemental memes of gaze, glimpse, & glance.

"I will show you fear in a handful of dust," wrote (beware of pop-ups!) Eliot in 1922, "Wo weilest du?" / Where do you dwell? ... though as often with Eliot I have no exact idea of what he meant. Is the 'du' there equivalent to the du in Martin Buber's 'Ich und Du' / I and Thou? Which would make it 'Where dost thou dwell?'

The story of Jacob & Esau comes to mind for some reason. Selling out for a 'mess of pottage' (thinking of a house in Trinity, that must be it). But no more than the bog-standard human condition is it? Wikipedia gives me:
     "Thou sold'st thy birthright, Esau! for a mess;
       Thou shouldst have gotten more, or eaten less;"


Who cares if Newfoundland culture has been boiled down to a Screech In ritual with no antecedents? It doesn't matter - the whole shebang has been sold & bought - so bring it on! Bring on yer mess of pottage b'y! And an iceberg chaser!

Altamira Anima.But Lord Byron was lame at birth, which he didn't like at all. What would he have done for a new right foot I wonder? Conjures up echoes of Sylvia Plath's Daddy - a shoe being involved and so much of it rhyming with 'du'.

Scheherazade's customary opening, "O auspicious King," and Kipling's "O my Best Beloved," contain for me an implicit subjunctive, a wish or a possibility or a 'this may be so or something like it,' establishing a kind of 'thou' relation as Buber might call it. What better way to begin any story than to fold the listener gently into an entirely voluntary and contingent and temporary ... communion? And who knows exactly how long temporary is?

Be well gentle reader.

Postscript: (or Errata or Last-minute Shit, whatever)

Got that right:
I find it passing strange that with all the discussion in Toronto, about closing libraries that the closing of hockey arenas has not been discussed. Perhaps, we could have a debate between Margaret Atwood and Don Cherry about the relative merits of arenas and libraries. It would be more fun than roller derby.
       Graham Steeves, Port Elgin, Ontario.
The cartoon is from a recent Doonesbury series on Elizabeth Warren, mother-son relationships, fantasies and so on - worth a look.


Appendices:

1. The truth about the global demand for food, Jayati Ghosh, August 2 2011.




The truth about the global demand for food, Jayati Ghosh, August 2 2011.

A new report from the FAO blows the myth about increased grain consumption from developing countries leads to higher global demand and higher prices

Ever since the global food crisis of 2007-08, a perception has persisted in many parts of the world that one of the main underlying reasons for the price spikes in major food items – especially food grain – is the increased demand from countries such as China and India. If anything, this perception has become even more widespread since prices started rising again, especially since early 2010.

On the face of it, such a perception seems quite reasonable. After all, China and India both have huge populations, accounting for nearly 40% of the total world population between them. Their economies have both been expanding very rapidly, much faster than most of the rest of the world, so per capita incomes have been rising from relatively low bases. It is well known that as incomes rise from low levels, people tend to consume more food grain – not necessarily directly, but indirectly through the consumption of livestock products that require more grain in the form of food.

So it is only to be expected that the increased incomes in China and India would translate into more demand for food grain, and this could certainly affect the global supply demand balance in ways that would cause food prices to rise. Expected, yes: but did this actually happen?

It turns out that there has been barely any change, and if anything a slowdown, in the rate of grain consumption in these two large countries. And the global consumption of grain for all food purposes has actually decelerated in recent years compared with previous periods.

This is very evident from an important new report from the high level panel of experts set up by the FAO to study commodity price volatility and its relationship to food security. The report contains a careful assessment of both the actual trends and the various attempts to explain the price changes. In the process, it blows the myth about increased consumption from developing countries leading to higher global demand and, therefore, higher grain prices.

Consider the evidence it provides on rates of change of global cereal consumption, as shown in the chart. The growth rate of total cereal consumption was considerably slower in the period since 2000 than it was in the 1960s and 1970s, and only around the same as it was in the 1980s. It did increase relative to the 1990s, but not by very much. And, contrary to the general feeling, feed consumption for livestock actually increased more slowly than direct (or non-feed) consumption.

In fact, the report notes that even the apparent acceleration of feed use in the last decade was essentially because of the recovery of feed use in the former Soviet Union after the 1990s. So, despite all the booming demand for meat in fast-growing Asia, the growth of feed consumption in the rest of the world outside the former Soviet Union was not accelerating. Rather, it has actually been slowing down.

As it happens, FAO food balance sheets show that both direct and indirect demand for grain in China and India barely increased between 2000 and 2007, and cereal imports were actually lower. Why this has been happening, and why the economic growth has not translated into more aggregate demand for grain, is obviously a fascinating question on its own and one that deserves more study. It is likely that the worsening income distribution in both countries may have had something to do with it, so that increased demand from high-income groups is counterbalanced by reduced demand from poorer sections. But this needs to be explored further.

The relevant point is that it is not increased demand from China and India that is driving up grain prices. This does not mean that there are no other demand forces at work, however. Financial speculation in commodity markets is clearly significant, but it is also true that even such speculation must be based on some assessments of changing global balances. What could that be based on?

The report from the FAO has a convincing response to that as well: it notes that the biofuel boom has had a major impact on the evolution of world food demand for cereals and vegetable oils. According to page 32 of the report "there is a real acceleration of non-feed uses boosted by biofuel development. Excluding use for biofuel, the growth rate for non-feed use is stable compared with the 1990s and markedly inferior to its historical performance. Without biofuel, the growth rate of world cereal consumption is equal to 1.3% compared with 1.8% for biofuel".

This massively increased demand from biofuel is largely determined by the very large subsidies provided in many western countries, which have, ironically, been increasing their subsidisation of biofuel at the same time that they have reduced subsidies on food cultivation. Aside from a few producers, such as Brazil and Cuba, biofuel production in most locations would be completely unviable without these large subsidies.

The impact of these on diverting production and affecting price has been even more significant in the case of edible oils. The report shows that "the use of vegetable oils for food slowed down between the 1990s and the 2000s (from 4.4% a year to 3.3%), but industrial use of vegetable oil soared, pushed by the booming European biofuel industry. As a result, the share of industrial use in world consumption of vegetable oils jumped from 11% to 24% between 2000 and 2010".

The surprising conclusion from all this is that, leaving out the impact of the biofuel boom of the 2000s, global consumption of both cereals and edible oils is actually slowing down. All the more tragic, then, that speculative forces are still allowed to run amok in global commodity markets and global food prices are kept so high as to increase the deprivation of the millions of hungry people in the world.


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