Thursday, 12 February 2009

Porcos (todos nós)

Up, Down.

Gilmar, Porcos, Tênis
Gilmar On-line.

Mark, Chapter 5.

And they came over unto the other side of the sea, into the country of the Gadarenes.

And when He was come out of the ship, immediately there met Him out of the tombs a man with an unclean spirit, who had his dwelling among the tombs; and no man could bind him, no, not with chains: Because that he had been often bound with fetters and chains, and the chains had been plucked asunder by him, and the fetters broken in pieces: neither could any man tame him. And always, night and day, he was in the mountains, and in the tombs, crying, and cutting himself with stones.

But when he saw Jesus afar off, he ran and worshipped Him, and cried with a loud voice, and said, What have I to do with thee, Jesus, thou Son of the most high God? I adjure thee by God, that thou torment me not.

For He said unto him, Come out of the man, thou unclean spirit. And He asked him, What is thy name? And he answered, saying, My name is Legion: for we are many. And he besought Him much that He would not send them away out of the country.

Now there was there nigh unto the mountains a great herd of swine feeding. And all the devils besought Him, saying, Send us into the swine, that we may enter into them. And forthwith Jesus gave them leave. And the unclean spirits went out, and entered into the swine: and the herd ran violently down a steep place into the sea, (they were about two thousand;) and were choked in the sea.

And they that fed the swine fled, and told it in the city, and in the country. And they went out to see what it was that was done. And they come to Jesus, and see him that was possessed with the devil, and had the legion, sitting, and clothed, and in his right mind: and they were afraid. And they that saw it told them how it befell to him that was possessed with the devil, and also concerning the swine.

And they began to pray Him to depart out of their coasts.


Bailout ToiletWho will watch over this feverish spending?, Rex Murphy, February 14, 2009.

Spend in haste. Repent at leisure.

My instinctive response when Finance Minister Jim Flaherty brought down his (and Michael Ignatieff's) budget was: Does it contain a special, one-off fund for Sheila Fraser? Will the Auditor-General of Canada be granted special resources and extra staff to monitor the great flood of emergency spending?

After all, if Canada is moving back into the era of great federal deficits, if $12-billion for infrastructure were to be spent as fast as possible over the next two years, if all the provinces and the cities are lining up with those “shovel-ready” projects, then surely this is the very time to arm the Auditor-General, so to speak, to the scrutinizing teeth.

If the federal government is about to push buckets of cash out the door in all the haste of an emergency, powered by that fevered eagerness politicians bring to spending great heaps of public money, then giving Ms. Fraser and her office the means to cope has to be a primary consideration. For this is a fire hose of a budget, millions and millions of dollars being sprayed under high pressure in every direction. Or, if you'd prefer a slightly more dated image, it's a runaway stagecoach of a budget, the horses spooked, the driver unconscious and the passengers (that would be you, gentle taxpayers) jostled, terrified and howling the most desperate prayers in the careening carriage.

We've had experience of emergency spending before. Not so long ago. Was it not fear and trembling in the then Prime Minister's Office that launched the notorious sponsorship scandal? Following the “near-death” referendum of 1995 it was decided to assert “the federal presence” in Quebec. The perceived need to plaster everything vertical (breathing or otherwise) in Quebec with Canadian insignia saw millions rolled out to PR firms, friends of the Liberal Party, and led to the fine imbroglio that history now enshrines as Adscam.

Adscam is a delightful example of what happens in bouts of feverish emergency spending if one leaves the little matter of professional oversight and neutral bookkeeping till after the money is spent.

I leave aside almost entirely the question of whether what we may call spending under duress ever really accomplishes its goal. Save to note that the great expenditures of the sponsorship program had only one undoubted (yet, dubious still) achievement: the dismantling of Paul Martin's entire tenure as prime minister.

The essential point is quite basic. In an extraordinary time, when the government feels the need to release itself from normal spending limits and processes, the Auditor-General's office should correspondingly be given greater weight and presence. It appears her office, in fact, has not been.

Our challenges, in this regard, however, are minuscule compared to what the Americans are rushing, Gadarene-like, to do. Readers will recall the famous line of Pascal: “The eternal silence of these infinite spaces fills me with dread.” Reminds me of the American stimulus plan. Who would not, philosopher or otherwise, be “filled with dread” over the billions and billions about to tumble out of the American political system. How great is their overall stimulus package? Is it two or three trillion dollars? Is it, in fact, measurable at all? Are they attempting to stimulate their economy or void it altogether?

The numbers, whatever finally they are, are simply incomprehensible – meaning the mind cannot contain, in any meaningful way, what they signify. Who will, who can guard expenditure on this scale? There are not enough accountants in eternity. One immediate consequence is that amounts that before would stay the attention, drift past with the slight regard we give to pocket change. Twenty billion, for example, in this context is such a paltry sum. Three hundred million – mere pennies. When we hear the Senate ups the amount or takes it down by tens of billions of dollars, the change seems picayune. The Obama stimulus is so large that it has thrown out all the old familiar frames of reference.

No one can predict if the American stimulus plan will work. Anyone can predict it will entail some of the ripest and richest scandals that country has ever seen.

Our piddling $40-billion, by contrast, looks hesitant, trifling, a costive, miserly thing.

It surely is not. Which speaks all the more for insisting at the beginning of this great bailout/stimulus/injection that the protocols of oversight are far greater here than they have ever been. Sheila Fraser's office is one of the precious few Canadians will trust with at least an attempt to monitor that a great emergency stimulus doesn't morph into a pit of waste or worse.

Obama's faith-based bailout, Margaret Wente, February 14, 2009.

My cousin lost his job last week because of the recession. It was a pretty crummy job, but it paid the rent. Now he cleans out people's basements at 50 bucks a pop.

I sure hope Mark Carney, our Bank of Canada Governor, is right. Just suck it up this year, he promises, and by next year everything will be fine.

Well, maybe. But it sure doesn't feel that way.

Paul Volcker was in Toronto the other night to have dinner with a bunch of well-heeled people who hung on his every word. Everyone looks up to the former U.S. central banker, because he whipped inflation in the ‘80s and also because he's over six and a half feet tall. He genially admitted that the old system is finished. “Finance doesn't work without some sense of trust and confidence,” he said.

But all the trust and confidence are gone. The smartest people in the world thought that financial markets obeyed mathematical laws. They believed that people, in the aggregate, acted rationally. It turns out that they don't. The markets are only human after all. And so are people.

Will Barack Obama's giant bailout package do the trick? No one knows because it all depends on trust and confidence. If you believe that it will do some good, then you might spend money instead of putting it in a sock. The pundits don't believe in it, although they disagree as to why. It's either too little, too timid, too vague and too late, or else it's just another swindle of the taxpayers. In any event, after less than three weeks, they have declared his presidency an utter failure.

The only thing we know for sure is that all those billions are just the first instalment. According to Mr. Volcker, fixing the banks will cost several trillion dollars. The hardest part, if I understand the business terminology correctly, is to exorcise the voodoo loans from the zombie banks. In other words, what Mr. Obama really needs is a good witch doctor.

If only the witch doctor would arrive in time to drive out the evil spirits from my neighbourhood. But I'm afraid he won't. It has always been a hotbed of hopeful entrepreneurship. Every year a bunch of new businesses open up, and every year – generally after the January clearance sales – a few go bust. This year is worse than usual. Just last month, one brave soul (a woman, I suspect) opened a lovely little store that sells exquisite home accessories. I imagine she's been planning it for years. Every time I pass by the freshly painted storefront, I whisper to her: “Don't do it! Don't do it!” The world of retail has become ruthlessly Darwinian, and good people will get wiped out.

The voodoo bank loans aren't the only problem. Because of the recession, ordinary loans are going sour too. In the United States, everything has collapsed at once – house prices, home sales, car sales, jobs. Coming soon are widespread defaults on credit-card debt. Cities and school districts across the country will run out of money because their pension funds invested in zombie assets and their credit is no good. Florida and California are flat broke. No one has a clue what will happen next, but it's safe to guess it won't be pleasant.

“You guys in the Toronto media are spreading too much doom and gloom,” said a friend of mine who lives in Winnipeg. I admitted that it's easy to feel gloomy, especially when being in the newspaper business feels a bit like working for GM. On the other hand, we're not the only ones who are contemplating a diminished future. The other day I ran into someone who owns a service business that has survived through thick and thin.

“How's it going?” I asked. “I'm laying off half my staff tomorrow,” she told me. “I'm thinking that maybe I should close up shop.”

I am truly, truly proud, as are we all, that poky, conservative Canada has turned out to be a pillar of financial rectitude amidst the smoking ruins. Not too many cowboys here, unless you count the shooters at the Quebec pension fund, who managed to lose a staggering $38-billion last year. “Don't feel bad,” I consoled a girlfriend whose RSP went down 24 per cent. “Those big shots did even worse than you did.”

Who ever would have guessed that Canada's boring old banks would be the model for the new world financial system? If only anybody had a clue how to build it. Meantime, we'll be borrowing from ourselves for years and years, then paying it back for years after that. I'm thinking that we'll have a long, long time to learn to live on less.

If only bailouts were like Tinker Bell, it would all be so much easier. Mr. Obama could say, “Clap, clap if you believe in my bailout plan!”, and we'd all clap like mad, and the economy would magically spring back to life. Faith saved Tink, and only faith will save us all. Failing that, there's not much that you or I can do, except renovate our houses and apply for a tax rebate. Personally, I'm willing to try anything. I don't need a deck, but I'll build one anyway. I'll build two. I'll ask the contractor to hire my cousin. He needs a job.

Down.

Wednesday, 11 February 2009

uhmmmm ...

Up, Down.

there's a lot more but I can't be bothered to post it all, cartoons, pictures of the perps ... maybe later ...

WORLDWIDE CRISIS:
     Part 1: The Geopolitics of Food Scarcity.
     Part 2: Falling Yields, Failing States.

MEALY-MOUTHED SHIT FROM THE BANKER BOSSES:
     Former banking bosses say 'sorry' (England).
     US banks defend bail-out spending (America).

"There's a great deal of anger in the country, much of it justified."
     Massachusetts Democrat Representative, Barney Frank.


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WORLDWIDE CRISIS - Part 1: The Geopolitics of Food Scarcity, Lester Brown, February 11, 2009.

In some countries social order has already begun to break down in the face of soaring food prices and spreading hunger. Could the worldwide food crisis portend the collapse of global civilization?

One of the toughest things for us to do is to anticipate discontinuity. Whether on a personal level or on a global economic level, we typically project the future by extrapolating from the past. Most of the time this works well, but occasionally we experience a discontinuity that we failed to anticipate. The collapse of civilization is such a case. It is no surprise that many past civilizations failed to grasp the forces and recognize signs that heralded their undoing. More than once it was shrinking food supplies that brought about their downfall.

Does our civilization face a similar fate? Until recently it did not seem possible, but our failure to deal with the environmental trends that are undermining the world food economy -- most importantly falling water tables, eroding soils, and rising temperatures -- forces the conclusion that such a collapse is possible.

These trends are taking a significant toll on food production: In six of the last eight years world grain production has fallen short of consumption, forcing a steady drawdown in stocks. World carryover stocks of grain (the amount remaining from the previous harvest when the new harvest begins) have dropped to only 60 days of consumption, a near record low. Meanwhile, in 2008 world grain prices have climbed to the highest level ever.

The current record food price inflation puts another severe stress on governments around the world, adding to the other factors that can lead to state failure. Even before the 2008 climb in grain prices, the list of failing states was growing. Now even more governments in many more low and middle-income countries that import grain are in danger of failing as food prices soar. With rising food costs straining already beleaguered states, is it not difficult to imagine how the food crisis could portend the failure of global civilization itself.

Today we are witnessing the emergence of a dangerous politics of food scarcity, one in which individual countries act in their narrowly defined self-interest and subsequently accelerate the deterioration of global equilibrium. This began in 2007 when leading wheat-exporting countries such as Russia and Argentina limited or banned exports in an attempt to counter domestic food price rises. Vietnam, the world's second-largest rice exporter after Thailand, banned exports for several months for the same reason. While these moves may reassure those living in exporting countries, they create panic in the scores of countries that import grain.

In response to restrictions by these and other grain exporters, grain-importing countries are trying to nail down long-term bilateral trade agreements in order to secure future food supplies. The Philippines, no longer able to count on rice from the world market when it needs it, negotiated a three-year deal with Vietnam for a guaranteed 1.5 million tons of rice each year. Other importers are seeking similar arrangements.

Food import anxiety is also spawning an entirely new genre of trade agreements as food-importing countries seek to buy or lease large blocks of land to farm in other countries. Libya, which imports close to 90 percent of its grain and is understandably anxious about access to supplies, has leased 250,000 acres of land in Ukraine to grow wheat for its own people in exchange for access to one of its oil fields. Egypt is seeking similar land acquisition in Ukraine in exchange for access to its natural gas. China has the most ambitious "farming abroad" goals of all: In 2007 the country signed a memorandum of understanding to farm 2.5 million acres in the Philippines, an area equal to roughly 10 percent of that country's farmland. But this agreement, quietly entered into by government officials, was later abandoned by Manila as rice supplies tightened and as local farmers voiced concern. China is now looking for long-term leases of land in other countries, including Australia, Russia, and Brazil.

No Temporary Shortage

The current surge in world grain prices is trend-driven; some of these trends expand demand and others restrict growth in supply. On the demand side, these trends include world population growth of 70 million people a year, a growing number of people consuming more grain-intensive products, and the massive diversion of US grain to ethanol-fuel distilleries. During the last few years, the United States's use of grain for ethanol has nearly doubled the annual growth in world grain consumption from 19 million metric tons to more than 36 million metric tons.

The additional demand for grain associated with rising affluence varies widely among countries. People in low-income countries where grain supplies 60 percent of calories, such as India, directly consume nearly 200 kilograms of grain per year. In affluent countries like the United States and Canada, annual grain consumption per person is close to 800 kilograms, but about 90 percent of that is consumed indirectly as meat, milk, and eggs. The potential for additional grain consumption as incomes rise among low-income consumers is huge. To illustrate, the current world grain harvest of around two billion metric tons could feed 10 billion Indians at current consumption levels but only 2.5 billion Americans.

This potential growth in demand for grain is huge but it pales next to that for automotive fuel production. The automotive demand for crop-based fuels is insatiable. If the food value of grain is less than its fuel value, the market will move the grain into the energy economy. Thus as the price of oil rises, the price of grain follows it upward. The United States, in a misguided effort to reduce its dependence on foreign oil by substituting grain-based fuels, is generating global food insecurity on a scale not seen before.

Water Shortages Mean Food Shortages

Of all the environmental trends that are shrinking the world's food supplies, the most immediate is water shortages. In a world where 70 percent of all water use is for irrigation, this is no small matter. The drilling of millions of irrigation wells has pushed water withdrawal in many countries beyond recharge rates from rainfall, leading to groundwater mining. As a result, water tables are now falling in countries that contain half the world's people, including the big three grain producers -- China, India, and the United States.

Aquifer depletion poses a particularly serious threat to China and India where between roughly 80 and 60 percent, respectively, of the grain harvest comes from irrigated land. This compares with only 20 percent in the United States. Most aquifers can be replenished. When they are depleted, the pumping is necessarily reduced to the rate of recharge. Fossil aquifers, however, are not replenishable: For these, depletion brings pumping to an end. Farmers who lose their irrigation water can return to lower-yield dryland farming if rainfall permits, but in more arid regions, such as the southwestern United States or the Middle East, it can mean the end of agriculture altogether.

Nowhere is the shrinkage of irrigated agriculture more dramatic than in Saudi Arabia, a country as water-poor as it is oil-rich. After the Arab oil export embargo in the 1970s, the Saudis realized they were vulnerable to a counter embargo on grain. To become self-sufficient in wheat, they developed a heavily subsidized irrigated agriculture based on pumping water from a fossil aquifer over a half-mile below the surface. In early 2008, with the aquifer largely depleted, the Saudis announced that they will phase out wheat production by 2016 -- after being self-sufficient in this staple food for over 20 years. Saudi Arabia will then be importing roughly 14 million metric tons of wheat, rice, corn, and barley for its Canada-sized population of 30 million people. It is the first country to publicly reveal how aquifer depletion will shrink its grain harvest.

Falling water tables are also adversely affecting harvests in many other countries. In China, a groundwater survey revealed that the water table under the North China Plain, an area that produces over half of the country's wheat and a third of its corn, is falling fast. Overpumping has largely depleted the shallow aquifer, forcing well drillers to turn to the region's deep aquifer, which is not replenishable. The aquifer is dropping at a rate of nearly three meters per year. A 2001 World Bank report predicted "catastrophic consequences for future generations" unless water use and supply can quickly be brought back into balance.

As water tables fall and irrigation wells go dry, China's wheat crop, the world's largest, is shrinking. After peaking at 111 million metric tons in 1997, the harvest fell to 103 million metric tons this year, a drop of seven percent within a decade. During the same period, production of rice, a water-guzzling crop, dropped six percent from 127 million to 119 million tons. Already dependent on imports for nearly 70 percent of its soybeans, China may soon be importing massive quantities of grain as well.

In India the margin between food consumption and survival is even more precarious. The country's farmers have drilled 21 million irrigation wells, with the result that water tables are falling in almost every state. In a survey of India's water situation, British author and journalist Fred Pearce reported in August 2004 in New Scientist magazine that "half of India's traditional hand-dug wells and millions of shallower tube wells have already dried up, bringing a spate of suicides among those who rely on them. Electricity blackouts are reaching epidemic proportions in states where half of the electricity is used to pump water from depths of up to a kilometer."

The progressive worldwide depletion of aquifers is making further expansion of food production more difficult. After nearly tripling from 94 million hectares in 1950 to 276 million hectares in 2000, the world's irrigated area abruptly stopped growing. For the world's farmers, peak water apparently has arrived.

Cropland Losses

In addition to losses from erosion, cropland is also being converted to non-farm uses. Although there are no reliable worldwide data on cropland conversion, it is clear that whether it is housing developments marching up California's Central Valley, the thousands of factories being built each year in the Yangtze River Basin, or similar losses elsewhere, some of the world's most productive cropland is being lost to construction. Meanwhile, the world automobile fleet is growing by 23 million cars per year, and is claiming ever more cropland for roads, highways, and parking lots. To illustrate this, imagine if China were one day to achieve the Japanese automobile ownership rate of one car for every two people. The country would then have a fleet of 650 million motor vehicles, compared with only 35 million today. Since at least 0.4 hectares of land has to be paved for every 20 vehicles added to the fleet, this would require paving nearly 13.3 million hectares of land -- an area equal to half the riceland in China. Worldwide, the average grainland per person shrank from 2.4 hectares in 1950 to well below 1.2 hectares in 2007. This area, smaller than a building lot in an affluent US suburb, will soon shrink to 0.8 hectares if current population growth trends continue.

Rising Temperatures, Falling Yields

Global warming is another pervasive environmental threat to food security. Agriculture as it exists today was shaped by a climate system that despite occasional blips has remained remarkably stable over farming's 11,000-year history. Since crops were developed to maximize yields in this long-standing climate regime, climate change means agriculture will be increasingly out of sync with its natural environment. In a July 2004 study published by the US National Academy of Sciences, a team of scientists from several countries confirmed the rule of thumb emerging among crop ecologists -- that a one-degree Celsius temperature rise above the norm lowers wheat, rice, and corn yields by 10 percent. The scientists concluded that "temperature increases due to global warming will make it increasingly difficult to feed earth's growing population."

Aside from the direct effect of higher temperatures, ice melting indirectly affects agriculture over the longer term. The Greenland ice sheet, which is melting at an accelerating rate, will raise sea level seven meters if it melts entirely. If we continue with business-as-usual, sea level could easily rise by two meters during this century. This would quickly inundate rice-growing river deltas such as those of the Ganges in Bangladesh and the Mekong in Vietnam. A World Bank map shows that a one-meter rise in sea level would flood close to half of the riceland in Bangladesh, proportionately shrinking the rice supply of the country's 161 million people.

Crop Yields Plateauing

Even as these multiple environmental and resource trends threaten future food security, the shrinking backlog of unused agricultural technology is slowing the rise in land productivity. Between 1950 and 1990, the world's farmers raised grain yield per hectare by more than two percent a year, exceeding the growth of population. But since then yield growth has slowed to just over one percent a year, scarcely half the earlier rate. Some commentators point to genetically modified crop strains as a way out of our predicament, but GM crops have not dramatically raised yields, nor are they likely to do so in the near future.

The bottom line is that new harvest-expanding technologies are ever more difficult to come by as crop yields move closer to the inherent limits of photosynthetic efficiency. This limit in turn establishes the upper bounds of the earth's biological productivity, which ultimately will determine the earth's human carrying capacity. The question -- at least for now -- is not will the world grain harvest continue to expand, but will it expand fast enough to keep pace with rapidly growing demand. If we continue down the current path it is not likely to do so, which means that food supplies will tighten further. There is a real risk that we could soon face civilization-threatening food shortages.

Signs of food stress are everywhere. After declining for several decades, the number of chronically hungry and malnourished people in developing countries bottomed out in 1996 at 800 million and has been climbing since. In 2006 it exceeded 850 million and in 2007 it climbed to over 980 million. The US Department of Agriculture projects the number will reach 1.2 billion by 2017. For the first time in several decades this basic social indicator is moving in the wrong direction, and it is doing so at a record rate and with disturbing social consequences. No country is immune to the effects of tightening food supplies, not even the United States. If China turns to the world market for massive quantities of grain, as it recently has done for soybeans, it will undoubtedly look to the United States, which dominates world grain exports. For US consumers, the prospect of competing for the US grain harvest with 1.3 billion Chinese consumers with fast-rising incomes is a nightmare scenario. It would be tempting for the United States to restrict exports, but this is not an option with China which now holds well over one trillion US dollars. Like it or not, US consumers will share their grain with Chinese consumers regardless of how high food prices rise.

If the food crisis worsens, national restrictions on grain exports coupled with various bilateral arrangements could tie down much of the exportable supply of grain, making it increasingly difficult if not impossible for weaker, less affluent countries to find grain to import. Many countries heavily dependent on imports could be left out, and the result would be hundreds of millions of desperate people. Desperate people do desperate things: They riot, they fight over food, they overthrow governments, and they mass migrate to more food-secure countries.

In many countries the social order has already begun to break down in the face of soaring food prices and spreading hunger. Deadly food riots broke out in a number of countries in 2008. In Egypt several people died in fights in government-subsidized bread lines. Food riots in Yemen turned deadly, taking at least a dozen lives. In Cameroon the food riot death toll was twice as high.



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WORLDWIDE CRISIS - Part 2: Falling Yields, Failing States.

The deteriorating world food situation is not occurring in a vacuum: it comes at a time when there is a growing backlog of unresolved problems, many of them associated with a failure by developing countries to slow population growth. Continuing population growth on a planet already overburdened with human demands is politically weakening scores of countries. Under stress, internal social conflicts develop between differing religious, ethnic, tribal, and racial groups, sometimes leading to genocide as in Rwanda and Sudan.

Nearly all of the projected 2.4 billion people to be added to world population by mid-century will be born in countries where agriculture's natural support systems are already deteriorating in the face of excessive demands. As water tables fall, soils erode, and temperatures rise in countries like India, Pakistan, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and Mexico, the risk of social collapse grows. We have entered a new era in international affairs: In the last century it was heavily armed superpowers that threatened security, but today it is failing states. It is not the concentration of power but its absence that now threatens us.

Plan B: Our Only Option

Business as usual is no longer a viable option. The current world food crisis can be alleviated only by altering the trends that are causing it. We need to go to Plan B. This involves extraordinary measures such as stabilizing climate, stabilizing population, eradicating poverty, and restoring agriculture's natural support systems, including soils and aquifers.

Plan B has four components: cut carbon emissions 80 percent by 2020, stabi-lize the world population at eight billion by 2040, eradicate poverty, and restore forests, soils, and aquifers. The 80 percent cut in net carbon dioxide emissions can be achieved by systematically raising energy efficiency throughout the world economy, investing massively in the development of renewable sources of energy, banning deforestation worldwide, and planting billions of trees to sequester carbon. The transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy is driven by tax restructuring, namely raising the tax on carbon while offsetting it with a reduction in income taxes.

Stabilizing population and eradicating poverty go hand in hand. The key to accelerating the shift to smaller families is eradicating poverty. This means ensuring education for all children, girls as well as boys. It means providing rudimentary, village-level health care so that people can be confident their children will survive to adulthood. And it means giving women everywhere access to reproductive health care and family planning services.

The fourth component, restoring the earth's natural systems and resources, encompasses a worldwide initiative to arrest the fall in water tables by raising water productivity, similar to the highly successful worldwide initiative to raise land productivity that was launched a half century ago and that has nearly tripled grain yield per hectare. Raising water productivity means shifting to more efficient irrigation systems and to more water-efficient crops. In some countries this means, for example, more wheat and less rice. And for industries and cities, it means continuously recycling water. As industries and cities recycle water, more will be available for irrigation. This component also includes a worldwide soil conservation effort, with such measures as terracing, planting tree shelter belts, and adopting minimum tillage practices.

Within the environmental community, we have talked for decades about saving the planet. But now we have a new challenge: to save civilization itself. To adopt Plan B is to embrace hope. We can continue with business as usual, leaving the next generation a world where failing states multiply until civilization descends into chaos. Or we can start working now to leave our children a better world, a world that is more secure, not less so.

Lester R. Brown is president of the Washington, D.C.-based Earth Policy Institute and author of "Plan B 3.0: Mobilizing to Save Civilization."



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Former banking bosses say 'sorry', BBC, Tuesday, 10 February 2009.

The former bosses of the two biggest UK casualties of the banking crisis have apologised "profoundly and unreservedly" for their banks' failure.

Former Royal Bank of Scotland chief executive Sir Fred Goodwin told MPs on the Treasury Committee he "could not be more sorry" for what had happened.

The former bank chiefs also said the bonus culture had contributed to the crisis and needed to be reviewed.

But Sir Fred said if bankers felt they were not paid enough, they would leave.

Sir Tom McKillop, former RBS chairman, also admitted that his bank's much-criticised purchase of Dutch rival ABN Amro had been a "big mistake".

The former bosses, along with other bankers, have been criticised for taking huge bonuses from banks that later had to rely on taxpayer money to survive.

Separately, the Tories demanded an urgent inquiry into claims that one of Gordon Brown's key advisers, Sir James Crosby, sacked HBOS executive Paul Moore, who warned about excessive risk taking.

Sir James, who was HBOS' chief executive at the time and is now the deputy head of the Financial Services Authority, allegedly sacked Mr Moore in 2005 after he warned the bank's board about its potentially dangerous "sales culture".

The MPs began Tuesday's hearings by asking the former bosses about the bonuses they received in 2008.

Sir Fred Goodwin said he had taken no bonus that year, but that he had taken home a salary of £1.46m.

Andy Hornby, former chief executive of HBOS, said he had also not taken a a bonus last year, and that he had never taken any bonus in the form of cash.

"I have never received one single penny in cash bonus," he said, referring to his time not only as boss of HBOS but also his time on the board.

Instead, he said, he had taken his bonuses in the form of shares.

"I have lost considerably more money than I have been paid," he said, referring to falls in the value of shares that he had been given as bonuses.

Sir Fred Goodwin added he had lost around £5m on the value of his shares in 2007, although he stressed that he was not complaining.

Bonus culture

Mr Hornby conceded that the culture, where bankers can receive many times their salary in cash bonuses, did need to be looked at.

"The bonus system has proved to be wrong. Substantial cash bonuses do not reward the right kind of behaviour," he said.

Sir Tom McKillop agreed that a fundamental review of remuneration was needed.

But when asked whether the bonus culture encouraged excessive risk taking and had exacerbated the banking crisis, Sir Fred Goodwin argued that traders had been trading within set limits, and had simply been doing "what they were authorised to do".

It is "hard to say that remuneration was a cause [of the bank's problems]," he said.

Huge losses

Sir Fred oversaw a number of acquisitions that made Edinburgh-based RBS one of the world's biggest banks.

But his £10bn deal to buy Dutch rival ABN Amro late in 2007 is now seen as ill-timed and a deal too far in light of RBS's inability to survive the credit crunch without a massive injection of government funds.

Sir Tom admitted to the committee that the deal to buy ABN was "a big mistake".

"We bought it at the top of the market and anything we paid was an error. We are sorry we bought ABN Amro," he said.

Sir Fred said it was a "bad decision and certainly mistimed."

He said the size of RBS, together with its lack of cash following the ABN Amro, made it particularly susceptible to the credit crunch.

RBS is now nearly 70%-owned by the taxpayer after a government rescue package was put in place at the end of last year.

No easy ride

The ex-bosses of HBOS also admitted mistakes.

When pushed, Lord Stevenson, former chairman of HBOS, said the mistake the bank made was a failure to predict the credit crunch, which effectively froze access to new funds.

"The fundamental mistake of HBOS was the failure to predict the wholesale collapse of the wholesale markets," he said.

The MPs asked why a HBOS group risk manager was sacked in 2005 for raising questions about the levels of risk the bank was taking on.

Lord Stevenson would not be drawn on the specifics of the sacking, simply saying that it had been subject to an independent investigation.

But Mr Hornby stressed that an over-reliance on wholesale capital markets for funding was indeed the root cause of the problem.

"We were over-exposed to wholesale funding," he said.

Banks use the wholesale markets to raise cash - effectively borrowing money from other financial institutions.

When this funding dried up as a result of the credit crunch, the bank was left high and dry, he and Lord Stevenson argued.

HBOS was rescued by Lloyds and the merged group is now more than 40%-owned by the government.

The bosses still in place at the helm of Britain's leading banks will appear before the Treasury Committee on Wednesday.

Total pay (including bonuses) 2007:

RBS
Sir Tom McKillop Chairman £750,000
Sir Fred Goodwin Group chief executive £4,190,000
Johnny Cameron Chairman, global markets £3,256,000

HBOS
Lord Stevenson Chairman £821,000
Andy Hornby Chief executive £1,926,000
Peter Cummings Chief executive, corporate division £2,606,000

Lloyds TSB
Sir Victor Blank Chairman £661,000
J Eric Daniels Group chief executive £2,884,000
Terri Dial Group executive director £1,995,000

Bradford & Bingley
Rod Kent Chairman £265,000
Steven Crawshaw Group chief executive £1,112,548
Chris Wilford Group finance director £700,572

Northern Rock
Matt Ridley Chairman £223,000
Adam Applegarth Chief executive £785,000
David Baker Deputy chief executive £476,000



*************************************************************
US banks defend bail-out spending, BBC, Wednesday, 11 February 2009.

Bosses of eight US banks have attempted to reassure a Congressional hearing that the US government's banking bail-out has been well spent.

The chief executives of firms including Citigroup and Bank of America have told the House Committee they have increased lending and prevented foreclosures.

The eight firms have so far received $166bn (£114bn) of public funds.

Members of the committee have already expressed concern at what they see as a lack of accountability.

As the meeting started, the committee's chairman, Massachusetts Democrat Representative Barney Frank, warned the bank bosses that "there's a great deal of anger in the country, much of it justified".

"I want to know where the money has gone," said Democrat Paul Kanjorski.

Republican Gresham Barrett said: "My folks simply haven't seen the evidence that the money you were given is working or making their lives better."

Transparency call

The eight chief executives attending are Vikram Pandit of Citigroup, Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan Chase, Kenneth Lewis of Bank of America, Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs, John Mack of Morgan Stanley, Robert Kelly of Bank of New York Mellon Corp, Ronald Logue of State Street and John Stumpf of Wells Fargo.

BAIL-OUTS RECEIVED:

Bank of America - $45bn
Citigroup - $45bn
JP Morgan Chase - $25bn
Wells Fargo - $25bn
Goldman Sachs - $10bn
Morgan Stanley - $10bn
State Street - $3bn
Bank of New York Mellon - $3bn

Mr Frank also asked the executives to justify the payment of bonuses despite the financial crisis.

Citigroup boss Vikram Pandit said he had asked to take a salary of $1 a year with no bonus until Citigroup returned to profitability.

Lawmakers were also concerned about allegations from New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo that investment bank Merrill Lynch brought forward the payment of $3.6bn worth of bonuses to its bosses, despite needing to be rescued by Bank of America.

Kenneth Lewis said that his bank, which acquired Merrill last autumn, had urged Merrill executives to reduce the bonuses.

"[But] we had no authority to tell them what to do, just urge them what to do," he said.

"Nobody on our [BoA] management team received any incentives, no-one has a golden parachute or severance. Major changes will be made but we cannot make them until we own the company."

2007 PAY DEALS:

Jamie Dimon, JP Morgan Chase - $28m
Kenneth Lewis, Bank of America - $25m
Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs - $70m
John Mack, Morgan Stanley - $2m
Robert Kelly, Bank of New York Mellon - $20m
Ronald Logue, State Street - $28m
John Stumpf, Wells Fargo - $13m
Vikram Pandit, Citigroup - $574,000

'Mistakes'

The executives were keen to explain how they had spent their funds so far, and the extent to which this had enabled them to raise lending levels.

In his opening statement, Citigroup's Mr Pandit emphasised the number of customers his bank had helped to avoid losing their homes.

"We have helped 440,000 homeowners avoid foreclosure," he told the committee.

He said Citi would pay $3.4bn in annual dividends to the US government in return for its investment in his company. "My goal is to make this a profitable investment," he said.

"We will continue to make changes and to put the company back into profitability… The old models no longer work, we need to do a good job of embracing the new realities," said Mr Pandit.

Mr Dimon of JP Morgan Chase said the $25bn received by his bank had allowed it to delay the start of repossession proceedings on more than $22bn of mortgages held by about 80,000 homeowners.

Looking back at the cause of the credit crunch, he told the meeting that "today's economic crisis is a result of a lot of mistakes by a lot of people".

"The measure of strength of a country or company is not whether they have problems, but how they deal with them."

Mr Lewis of Bank of America said it was right that "taxpayers want us to manage our expenses carefully, and provide transparency about how we are putting their money to work to restart the economy".

"Despite recessionary headwinds, we are lending," he added, saying that the banks had to show more "humility".

"The American people are right to expect that we use [the bail-out] funds responsibly, quickly and transparently," said Citigroup's Mr Pandit in prepared remarks.

Mr Stumpf of Wells Fargo said: "We lend money the old-fashioned way, responsibly. As a result, we earned profitability last year of $3bn."

"Our mortgage lending is built on responsible servicing. Because of that, 93% of our customers are current on their mortgage payments," he said.

Bailed-out

The eight banks secured their bail-outs under the $700bn Troubled Asset Relief Program first unveiled by President George W Bush in October.

Bank of America and Citigroup have both received $45bn, while JP Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo got $25bn.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both got $10bn. State Street and Bank of New York Mellon were each given $3bn.

When asked about how much of their personal new money the executives had invested in their business in the last six months, Mr Dimon said he had invested $12m, Mr Pandit said $8.4m, while Mr Lewis said he had bought 400,000 shares. The rest did not invest anything.

On Tuesday, new Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner announced a new banking bail-out package totalling $1.5 trillion.

This includes the creation of a new fund into which banks can dump any remaining toxic debt.

Down.

Monday, 9 February 2009

Fork in the Road, Neil Young.

Up, Down.

Bailout, Gable, The Suffering ContinuesFork in the Road, Neil Young.

Got a pot belly.
It's not too big.
Gets in my way
When I'm driving my rig.
Driving this country
In a big old rig,
Things I see
Mean a lot.

Bailout, Cornered, Mike BaldwinMy friend has a pickup.
Drives his kid to school.
Then he takes his wife
 to beauty school.
Now she's doin' nails.
Gonna get a job.
Got a good teacher.

There's a fork in the road ahead.
I don't know which way I'm gonna turn.
There's a fork in the road ahead.

Forgot this year,
To salute the troops.
Bailout, Backbench, Government WasteThey're all still there
In a fucking war.
It's no good.
Whose idea was that?



I've got hope,
But you can't eat hope.
I'm not done.
Not giving up.
Not cashing in.
Too late.

There's a bailout coming but it's not for me.
It's for all those creeps watching tickers on TV.
There's a bailout coming but it's not for me.

Bailout, Neil Young, Fork in the RoadI'm a big rock star.
My sales have tanked,
But I still got you.
Thanks!
Download this.
Sounds like shit.

Keep on bloggin'
Bailout, Neil Young, Fork in the Road'Til the power goes out,
And your battery's dead.

Twist and Shout.
On the radio.
Those were the days.
Bring 'em back.

There's a bailout coming but it's not for you.
It's for all those creeps hiding what they do.
There's a bailout coming but it's not for you.
Bailout, Makins, MonopolyBailout coming but it's not for you.

Got my new flat-screen.
Got it repo'd now.
They picked it up.
Left a hole in the wall.
Last Saturday.
Missed the Raiders game.

There's a bailout coming but it's not for you.
There's a bailout coming but it's not for you.
It's for all those creeps hiding what they do.


Scary Bailout Money Info Graphic, Wade Meredith.
Bailout, Wade Meredith, Voltage Creative

Down.

Thursday, 5 February 2009

Knuckleheads!

Up, Down.

"i will not kiss your fucking flag"
"there is some shit i will not eat"


Jornal do Brasil, Crise Financeira

trillions to be spent on this trumped up financial 'crisis' - though everyone knows the economy from top to bottom is as corrupt as can be, good riddance to bad rubbish, we should be cheering - I am cheering, Hurrah!

the real crisis is global climate change ... if it were properly addressed then the financial 'crisis' would disappear since the roots are the same, secularism and objective physics, but the contrary proposition does not hold

A Secular Age, Charles Taylor.
The Nature of Order, Christopher Alexander.

Irma la Douce, Shirley MacLainei sing of olaf glad and big, E. E. Cummings

i sing of olaf glad and big
whose warmest heart recoiled at war:
a conscientious object-or

his wellbelovéd colonel (trig
westpointer most succinctly bred)
took erring olaf soon in hand;
but -- though an host of overjoyed
noncoms (first knocking on the head
him) do through icy waters roll
Rachel Weiszthat helplessness which others stroke
with brushes recently employed
anent this muddy toiletbowl,
while kindred intellects evoke
allegiance per blunt instruments --
olaf (being to all intents
a corpse and wanting any rag
upon what God unto him gave)
responds,without getting annoyed
"i will not kiss your fucking flag"

straightway the silver bird looked grave
(departing hurriedly to shave)

but -- though all kinds of officers
Juliette Lewis, Natural Born Killers(a yearning nation's blueeyed pride)
their passive prey did kick and curse
until for wear their clarion
voices and boots were much the worse,
and egged the firstclassprivates on
his rectum wickedly to tease
by means of skilfully applied
bayonets roasted hot with heat --
olaf (upon what were once knees)
does almost ceaselessly repeat
"there is some shit i will not eat"

our president, being of which
Halle Berryassertions duly notified
threw the yellowsonofabitch
into a dungeon,where he died

christ (of his mercy infinite)
i pray to see; and Olaf too

preponderatingly because
unless statistics lie he was
more brave than me: more blond than you



Down.

Saturday, 24 January 2009

crazy

Up, Down.

Crazy as a shit-house rat.

Crazy as a bedbug in a whore-house.


So ... just how crazly is a shit-house rat? and why? Ditto for a bedbug?

Down.

Thursday, 22 January 2009

Ethanol, Brasil, Slavery ...

Up, Down.

The Kiltegan Fathers, a group of Irish missionaries, sent Brother Tiago to Brazil in 1968. In 1975, the National Conference of Bishops established the Commissão Pastoral da Terra (CPT). Its aim is to improve the lives of field workers by practicing what Father Tiago calls "good religion." "Bad religion," he says, "is the faith preached in the plantation churches, constantly promising the workers a better life in the next world."

Ethanol, Brasil, Father TiagoEthanol, Brasil, Antonio da Silva

A 'Green Tsunami in Brazil, The High Price of Clean, Cheap Ethanol, Clemens Höges.

Down.

Tuesday, 20 January 2009

Let all those who'll do justice and love mercy say Amen, say Amen, and Amen.

Up, Down.

Make it plain, make it plain.

Joseph Lowery, BenedictionGod of our weary years, God of our silent tears, Thou who has brought us thus far along the way, Thou who has by Thy might led us into the light, keep us forever in the path we pray. Lest our feet stray from the places our God where we met Thee, lest, our hearts drunk with the wine of the world, we forget Thee. Shadowed beneath Thy hand, may we forever stand, true to Thee o God and true to our native land.

We truly give thanks for the glorious experience we've shared this day. We pray now o Lord for Your blessing upon Thy servant Barack Obama the 44th president of these United States, his family, and his administration. He has come to this high office at a low moment in the national and indeed the global fiscal climate. But because we know You got the whole world in Your hand we pray for not only our nation but for the community of nations. Our faith does not shrink though pressed by the flood of mortal ills for we know that Lord, You are able and You're willing to work through faithful leadership to restore stability, mend our brokenness, heal our wounds, and deliver us from the exploitation of the poor, of the least of these, and from favourtism toward the rich, the elite of these. We thank you for the empowering of Thy servant our 44th President to inspire our nation to believe that yes we can work together to achieve a more perfect union.

And while we have sown the seeds of greed the wind of greed and corruption and even as we reap the whirlwind of social and economic disruption, we seek forgiveness and we come in a spirit of unity and solidarity to commit our support to our president by our willingness to make sacrifices, to respect Your creation, to turn to each other and not on each other. And now Lord in the complex arena of human relations help us to make choices on the side of love not hate, on the side of inclusion not exclusion, tolerance not intolerance. And as we leave this mountain top help us to hold on to the spirit of fellowship and the oneness of our family. Let us take that power back to our homes, our workplaces, our churches, our temples, our mosques, wherever we seek Your will.

Bless President Barack, first lady Michelle, look over our little angelic Sacha and Melia. We go now to walk together children, pledging that we won't get weary in the difficult days ahead. We know You will not leave us alone, with Your hands of power and Your heart of love.

Help us then now Lord to work for that day when nation shall not lift up sword against nation, when tanks will be beaten into tractors, when every man and every woman shall sit under his or her own vine and fig tree and none shall be afraid. When justice will roll down like waters and righteousness as a might stream. Lord in the memory of all the saints who from their labours rest and in the joy of a new beginning, we ask You to help us work for that day when black will not be asked to get back, when brown can stick around, when yellah will be mellah, when the red man can get ahead man, and when white will embrace what is right.

Let all those who'll do justice and love mercy say Amen [Amen!] say Amen [Amen!] and Amen [Amen!].


Joseph Lowery delivers Inaugural Benediction (YouTube).

Looking Back and Continuing the March for Civil Rights, Rev. Joseph Echols Lowery (Audio Lecture) Tuesday, January 24, 2006.

Martin Luther King Jr. - Letter from Birmingham Jail ($#@!! pdf!) April 16, 1963.

Kenneth Hagood, Dr. King, Rev. Joseph Lowery, Dr. Edward HartKenneth Hagood, Dr. King, Rev. Joseph Lowery, and Dr. Edward Hart, April 14, 1961.


Down.

Sunday, 18 January 2009

On The Road Again

Up, Down.

I've got a hole
Where my stomach disappeared
Then you ask why I don't live here?
Honey, I gotta think you're really weird.


Down.

Friday, 16 January 2009

Business As Usual

Up, Down.

Nixon, George W Bush, Gable2001 Monster's Ball, Marc Forster,
     Billy Bob Thornton, Halle Berry.
1963 Irma la Douce, Billy Wilder,
     Jack Lemmon, Shirley MacLaine.
1994 Natural Born Killers, Oliver Stone,
     Woody Harrelson, Juliette Lewis.
1991 Cape Fear, Martin Scorsese,
     Nick Nolte, Robert De Niro, Juliette Lewis.
1998 Wild Things, John McNaughton,
     Matt Dillon, Kevin Bacon, Denise Richards, Neve Campbell, Bill Murray.
1980 American Gigolo, Paul Schrader,
     Richard Gere, Lauren Hutton.

Obama's Green Team (?)

General James Logan Jones Jr. USMC (Retired).

When he accepted his role in the Obama administration, Gen. Jones was chairman of the Institute for 21st Century Energy, a business-backed think tank that has several Canadian oil companies as supporting members.

Among its lengthy list of proposals aimed at boosting supply and reducing U.S. energy demand, the group warns against aggressive climate change policies that would undermine energy security or impose undue costs on the economy.


General James Logan Jones, National Security Advisor, Barack Obama, Global WarmingGeneral James Logan Jones, National Security Advisor, Barack Obama, Global WarmingGeneral James Logan Jones, National Security Advisor, Barack Obama, Global Warming

TRANSITION AT THE TOP - OBAMA'S GREEN TEAM, Shawn McCarthy, January 16, 2009.

OTTAWA -- After eight years of Republican rule, environmentalists now believe they have a keen ally moving into the White House next week, and Canada's oil sands are high on their list of targets.

But they'll have to deal with General James Jones.

As a monumental battle over energy policy shapes up within the new administration of president-elect Barack Obama, Gen. Jones, a former NATO supreme commander who retired from the U.S. Marine Corps, may turn out to be Canada's best ally.

After next week's historic presidential inauguration in Washington, D.C., he will be the new president's national security adviser, and has sent clear signals that he considers energy security to be a key part of his mandate.

The fate of Canada's carbon-heavy oil sands projects hangs on the outcome of the fight over U.S. energy policy and climate change, which pits the "hawks," pushing for tough new standards to cut greenhouse gas emissions, against the "pragmatists," urging a go-slow approach to ensure nothing undermines the economy or energy security.

Gen. Jones, as it turns out, delivered a message to closed-door meeting of business and government elites in Banff this fall that was music to the ears of his Alberta hosts.

Energy security is a critical and growing concern for American national security, Gen. Jones said in his keynote speech to an audience that included Americans and Mexicans, as well as Canadians.

His message in Banff this fall dovetails with Prime Minister Stephen Harper's pitch to the new administration for a continental climate change agreement that reflects the need for energy security and growing oil sands production.

When he accepted his role in the Obama administration, Gen. Jones was chairman of the Institute for 21st Century Energy, a business-backed think tank that has several Canadian oil companies as supporting members.

Among its lengthy list of proposals aimed at boosting supply and reducing U.S. energy demand, the group warns against aggressive climate change policies that would undermine energy security or impose undue costs on the economy.

And it advocates that the United States look to Canada and Mexico as strategic partners in providing growing sources of crude oil as it attempts to reduce its reliance on Middle East supplies.

Soon after his inauguration, Mr. Obama will travel to Ottawa to visit with Mr. Harper, his first foreign visit as president. The Prime Minister will make similar arguments to those put forward by Gen. Jones - that Canada is a critical source of secure energy and that the two countries need to work together to reduce greenhouse gas emissions without hamstringing either the economy or Alberta's oil industry.

But while Gen. Jones and Mr. Harper will be urging caution in Mr. Obama's right ear, the new president will be getting a very different message from environmentalists in his left.

Mr. Obama has promised aggressive action on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, by boosting low-carbon sources of energy, improving energy efficiency and adopting national emissions standards that could penalize high-carbon sources like oil sands projects.

He has loaded his cabinet with advocates of action, including former Environmental Protection Agency administrator Carol Browner in a new post as adviser for energy and climate change, and his energy secretary Stephen Chu, a Nobel Prize-winning physicist who has urged adoption of national emission caps.

But Gen. Jones and several economic advisers are expected to urge caution in moving ahead with costly regulations that could weaken an already fragile economy or interfere with the country's energy security agenda.

Included in that group is Lawrence Summers, Mr. Obama's top economic adviser, who clashed with Ms. Browner over environmental rules when he served as former president Bill Clinton's treasury secretary.

Gen. Jones's Institute for 21st Century Energy is part of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and has provided one avenue for Canadian oil companies to use to help counter the opposition in the United States to oil sands development. At the same time, Canada's Ambassador Michael Wilson and Alberta's representative Gary Mar have aggressively lobbied senior members of the U.S. Congress and senior advisers surrounding Mr. Obama.

Alberta is spending $2-billion to develop the means of sequestering large amounts of carbon dioxide underground, and the federal government is expected to unveil new incentives in its upcoming budget.

At confirmation hearings this week, Ms. Browner, Mr. Chu and EPA administrator Lisa Jackson vowed to move quickly on climate legislation, in some cases granting states the right to impose their own standards.

This week, a group of Canadian and American environmental groups wrote to the president-elect and key members of his cabinet, urging them to resist Ottawa's push to grant "a pass" to the oil sands in meeting greenhouse gas emission targets.

Congress is expected to tackle climate change legislation in the first half of this year, after Mr. Obama's stimulus package and a broader energy bill, says Liz Barratt-Brown, a senior attorney at Washington-based Natural Resources Defense Council, whose group was a signatory to the letter.

She expects the new president to rebuff any Canadian effort to water down emission targets to protect the oil sands.

"This is a president who instinctively gets how serious the climate change threat is," Ms. Barratt-Brown said.

Even some business groups are pressing for climate legislation that could force oil companies to spend on costly emission reductions programs, far beyond what the Alberta or federal government are requiring. Yesterday in Washington, the U.S. Climate Action Partnership issued a call for action that would include tough emission targets - including on imported oil - and low-carbon fuel standards that environmentalists insist would disadvantage the oil sands.

The USCAP includes blue-chip companies like General Electric Co. and Dow Chemical Co., and even heavy emitters like utility giant Duke Power Co. and oil major ConocoPhillips Co.

*****

ENERGY/ENVIRONMENT

CAROL BROWNER Assistant to the President for Energy and Climate Change. Former EPA administrator under president Bill Clinton supported U.S. signing on to Kyoto Protocol, and was active in environmental groups backing a national cap-and-trade system.

STEVEN CHU Energy Secretary. Former head of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, he directed research on renewable energy. A staunch advocate of national greenhouse gas emissions standards.

LISA JACKSON Administrator, Environmental Protection Agency. New Jersey state environmental administrator, chairwoman of the northeast Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, which established a cap-and-trade system among northeastern power utilities.

*****

NATIONAL SECURITY

JAMES L. JONES National Security Adviser. Former NATO supreme commander, Marine Corps four-star general, CEO of business-backed Institute for 21st Century Energy, which backed offshore drilling and energy trade with Canada and Mexico and opposed aggressive emission caps.

HILLARY CLINTON Secretary of State. Former first lady and senator, who supported Senate legislation for national emissions standards, but insisted foreign countries must also embrace standards. At confirmation hearing said climate change and energy security are joint challenges.

ROBERT GATES Defence Secretary, served as President George W. Bush's defence secretary. Department is world's largest consumer of fuel, and was prohibited in 2007 energy bill from buying unconventional, high-carbon fuel as secure alternative to imports. Many see it applying to oil sands.

*****

ECONOMY

LAWRENCE SUMMERS Director of the National Economic Council. Former Treasury secretary under Bill Clinton. Opposed the Kyoto accord, is a backer of a carbon tax, rather than the cap-and-trade system proposed by most of the Obama team.

TIMOTHY GEITHNER Treasury Secretary. Former head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (part of the U.S. central bank), participated in bailout of financial institutions last fall. Lobbied heavily by businesses who say new carbon emission caps would hurt weakened economy.

Down.

Wednesday, 14 January 2009

damned bureaucrats!

Up, Down.

Barack Obama, Spiderman, SpideyAtong ArjokThinking about the relationships between administration & religious vision. On the administrative, let's just call it 'bureaucratic' side there is: the Vatican; the Bahá’í Universal House of Justice: supreme administrative body of the Bahá’í faith (and sole recipient of infallible divind guidance) as well as The Bahá’í International Community and so forth; the Episcopal General Convention; the General Council Office of the United Church of Canada; indeed, the whole diocese / bishop / parish / vestry / congregation hierarchy. I don't know enough about Buddhist, Taoist, Hindu etc. structures to comment - a Buddhist friend of mine tells me it is the same there at least.

All of this fol-de-rol compared (and contrasted) with whatever it is that transpires between the diety and the believer, be it in a formal worship service or private 'prayer.'

"The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars,
But in ourselves, that we are underlings."
     Cassius in Shakespeare's Julius Caesar, Act I, Scene ii.


We could discuss which of Bahai or United Church of Canada is the 'younger.' They are both relative teenagers in the religion biz. And both are driven by their bureaucracies. Sad ... that is, when I run my mind back over recent epiphanies around The Good Samaritan and concrete human networks, augmented by Ivan Illich's thoughts on the subject.

None of this having much to do with Barack Obama actually, beyond the obvious, but Rex Murphy's rantings seem to fit in:

The incredible shrinking Obama, Rex Murphy, September 20, 2008.
He's not God, but he's America, Rex Murphy, December 27, 2008.
Obamamania: Pass the defibrillator, Rex Murphy, January 3, 2009.

The incredible shrinking Obama, Rex Murphy, September 20, 2008.

How's Barack Obama's narrative going?

Journalists used to tell stories, now they plumb narratives. Narrative is a pretentious borrowing from the abstraction-clotted world of academic criticism, where texts are interrogated, authors are dead and high-toned fatuousness is king. I'll see your postmodern and raise you a meta.

Mr. Obama's campaign, however, has renewed narrative's trendy fizz. It is the very Perrier water (or is it San Pellegrino now?) of the better campaign reportage. Take no hike up Pundit Mountain without it. From the moment, the Obama surge took forceful shape, everyone - reporters, the scholars of blogland, the partisan howler monkeys of cable-news cage matches - has chattered on about Mr. Obama's narrative.

Trouble is, most of the story of the campaign isn't so much coming from the candidate himself as it is created by all those who, most in worshipful terms, have talked, written and reported on or about him. The Obama campaign is one great text generator, the grand fable of his fans.

In one sense, this is not surprising. He has a quicksilver quality. Even after two autobiographies, Mr. Obama remains something of a floating, uncrowded presence. His story (and he is so impressively self-aware as to have made the most acute comment on it) is temptingly open-ended, very much a page to be written on. He himself has written, most memorably: "I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views."

That is as bold a statement as it is an insightful one. Bold, because it is a remarkable confession from a presidential hopeful. Insightful, because it matches the facts. There are not many personalities so fluid or vague on which an attempt to "project" a storyline would take hold. Imagine, for example, projecting a "rewrite" of Donald Rumsfeld. There's too much of Mr. Rumsfeld already there to offer hospitality to new material.

Mr. Obama, however, has a kind of welcoming emptiness. Eager acolyte or stern observer, both find it difficult not to add, or project, the most flattering, even jubilant, fill-ins. The Obama candidacy, in its rocket-blast phase when he outsoared Hillary Clinton, drained the dictionaries of every superlative. The great "O" had them swooning in the stands. Why?

True, Oprah had passed her potent wand over him, but even the afternoon regent of a thousand therapies has stays on her sorcery. Mainly, his was very much a candidacy constructed by those who were drawn to him. If there was any meaning to that fortune-cookie poeticism that "we are the ones we have been waiting for," it was that his campaign was a feedback loop. People saw what they came to see. Mr. Obama was the slate; the crowds brought their own chalk.

This is the nature of Mr. Obama's particular kind of charisma. People project their best wishes on him, they fill in the blank of a very attractive and plausible outline. His is not, emphatically, a charisma of deeds. For what has he done, save run for president? He is an accommodating vessel - cool, smart, biracial and "unfinished." This is the Gatsby quality of him that others have noted. Like Gatsby, he is a receptacle of others' glamorous invention.

People see in him, or wish to see, the last great ideal of the American polity fulfilled, a final and full racial accommodation. That should he be elected president, America will have achieved, by his singular persona, the perfect emblematic demonstration of having exorcised at last the great stain of its racially riven origins.

Mr. Obama's charisma is, in this sense, external, something extended to the candidate. And it follows that that which is given may equally be taken away. The sparkle has, in fact, dimmed. He travels now in a lower orbit, closer to Earth - which is to say, he grows more mundane. The great word "hope" sounds less frequently now. He picks a running mate thick with the dust and rancour of many long years in Washington.

His acceptance speech in the Olympic-style stadium could not gather the inspirational energy of his earlier arias. Of late, the flash supernova of U.S. politics is seen "competing" with a second-on-the-ticket female governor of a remote state. There's more than a gap between the "audacity of hope" and "lipstick on a pig." The mouth that spoke the first phrase should not be capable of the second.

He has shrunk into a combative partisan. He crowds his own screen, leaves less space for projection. Others are not writing his narrative now - he's inscribing his own.

A candidacy that leached so much of its energy and drive from the imagination of others, Gatsby-like, is shedding its gift. The narrative stage is over. It's all tactics from here on in.

He's not God, but he's America, Rex Murphy, December 27, 2008.

Time magazine has genuflected to the obvious and named Barack Obama its person of the year. Which is a good thing. Time can be spotty in its choices, either gruesomely correct - as when it named the Planet (incense to the Gaia crowd) - or unwholesomely sycophantic - when it stuck You (that's you, smart reader) on the cover.

Seeing Mr. Obama, I thought: Could have been worse. I guess the chaise longue will have to wait for a quieter time. But, this year, the magazine couldn't have gone anywhere else. A fair portion of the American press may have jettisoned every pretense of standard reporting on Mr. Obama, hardly to be distinguished in the tone of commentary from preteen girls "Oh-my-God-ing" in the presence of the latest boy band.

Time has gushed with the best of them. In November, in yet another cover story on The One, it rated Mr. Obama above the sons of kings and even, oh my, above Christ himself: "Some princes are born in palaces. Some are born in mangers. But a few are born in the imagination, out of scraps of history and hope ..."

I shed a tear on reading that. Brought back the molasses knobs of my youth, great glucose bombs that would fell a moose with their sheer sweetness. Yet, the excesses of Time, and the distinct strain of pure idolatry that has infested great swaths of the North American press, don't change the consideration that Barack Obama was the story of 2008.

He swiped the Democratic nomination from the Clintons, who, until Mr. Obama appeared on the scene, had that trinket so much in their possession that the contest for the top spot was marked down purely as a ritual. It was Hillary's, and that was all there was to it. And then from out of the murky backwaters of Chicago politics came a little-known black politician with the exotic name of Barack Hussein Obama, who glided with balletic insouciance past the shark's teeth, muscle and cunning of Clinton Inc.

He should be person of the year, of the decade, just for that. But it might also be useful to hold in mind, while the hymns to The One as he approaches inauguration day increase in volume and fervour, that that's all he's done. His Senate record is an empty suitcase. His national achievement is - outside the nomination - precisely nil. Sarah Palin's résumé is objectively much more substantial.

Hillary was right when she jibed that Mr. Obama was just one speech - the address he gave to the Democratic convention that loosed John Kerry on the American electorate. Off the platform, he's a great "um-er" and "ah-er" who stumbles with a sentence in a manner that hails to mind the image of George Bush on one of the latter's many desperate safaris to link a cowering subject to its about-to-be mauled predicate.

If Mr. Obama were a standard politician, the empty résumé would have done him in. But this is precisely the point about Mr. Obama, that he has blasted free of that category. Recall that string of losses he endured toward the end of the eternal primary campaign. Hillary was beating him state after state after state. And yet it hardly seemed to matter. Any other politician would have worn that serial trouncing like a wound. Mr. Obama walked on stage after each successive loss as though he'd just woken up from a comforting nap. The composure he sometimes displays, as many have noted, is almost unearthly: He possesses a centred confidence so strong that it almost deflects reality.

The Obama persona confounds politics as we have known it for at least a generation. His person summons the wish that politics be better. There was not a little intuitive genius in founding his campaign on the most frequently abused concept in politics: hope. That there is a profound desire for improvement in the conduct of public life in America is too obvious to need statement. (The same is true in our country. Oh lord, how true.)

On some days, U.S. politics appears to be a frightful compound of graft, mismanagement, incompetence, cronyism, sexual misconduct, mediocrity, avarice and feral partisanship. The people who love America fear for her, not from apprehension over her enemies, but from despair over her putative leaders.

Barack Obama, by some gift of personality, sent out a flash of inspiration that called the exiled strain of idealism back into U.S. politics. It was not so much that he made politics exciting as that he gave some warrant for the thought it could be worthy.

He is not Lincoln. He is not, despite Time's saccharine innuendo, better than the guy from the manger. But he's the one who's given the process of politics a second chance in our time. Person of the year. Easily.

Obamamania: Pass the defibrillator, Rex Murphy, January 3, 2009.

'It is now 16 or 17 years since I saw the Queen of France ... and surely never lighted on this orb, which she hardly seemed to touch, a more delightful vision."

That's Edmund Burke reflecting on the fate of Marie Antoinette. He was, as we should say today, a fan. "I saw her just above the horizon, decorating and cheering the elevated sphere she just began to move in; glittering like the morning star, full of life, and splendour, and joy."

The prose has a touch of that Chris Matthews "thrill up my leg" quality, although of course infinitely more refined than anything produced to date, either above or below, the host of Hardball's knee: "I thought 10,000 swords must have leaped from their scabbards to avenge even a look that threatened her with insult. But the age of chivalry is gone ..."

Prophetic Burke. He was right about the age of chivalry. But the age of powdered encomium, what we would call the "puff piece," is still very much with us.

Celebrity reportage, witlessness in full genuflection to tackiness, has exploded the meanings of flattery and self-abasement. Entertainment reporters, as they deliriously regard themselves, are high-paid oxymorons. They all but lick the shoes of those they cover, and even that exemption is, I'm fairly confident, not total.

Till very recently, the worship of celebrities was more or less confined to high-gloss, low-IQ entertainment magazines and their TV equivalents. But with the advent of Barack Obama - and I should insist, not at his prompting - it has done a worrisome crossover. In the year blessedly past, we had a column in the San Francisco Chronicle that makes even Burke's ode seem hesitant, ambiguous even.

The columnist wrote, gasped, thrilled, vibrated that Mr. Obama was "... that rare kind of attuned being who has the ability to lead us not merely to new foreign policies or health-care plans ... but who can actually help usher in a new way of being on the planet, of relating and connecting and engaging with this bizarre earthly experiment. These kinds of people actually help us evolve." Rhapsody is too timid a word.

Mr. Obama, the column reveals, is a Lightworker, a new-age messianic superpresence. The heading over this prostration, er, column was: "Is Obama an enlightened being?" Call Steven Spielberg. E.T. is back.

There have been other descriptions of Mr. Obama during the primaries and the election that have been almost as dementedly ardent.

Normally, the press stands apart from mass adulation. Not so with Mr. Obama. A recent report in The Washington Post read like a mash note from a teenager. The article had a picture of the Lightworker, shirtless, and commented: "... he was photographed looking like the paradigm of a new kind of presidential fitness, one geared less toward preventing heart attacks than winning swimsuit competitions." I beg to differ. Pass the defibrillator, now.

The reporter/disciple was, however, just warming up. Next he galloped off into territory left unexplored even in chicklit: "The sun glinted off chiselled pectorals sculpted during four weightlifting sessions each week, and a body toned by regular treadmill runs and basketball games."

If this guy gives up the politics beat, there are a hundred massage parlours out there thirsty for this kind of copy. This is The Washington Post, remember. Has the financial crisis tipped the collective media mind into entertainment reporting mode?

Very little of this, I repeat, is Mr. Obama's fault. (Although that famous line of his on winning the nomination as "the moment when the rise of the seas began to slow and the planet began to heal" was an unhappy toe-dip into the waters of absurd self-inflation.) But if the mainstream press offers "the sun glinted off chiselled pectorals," let's stop calling it news. This is Baywatch punditry.

Not worth a mention? On the contrary. There swirls around the figure or persona of Mr. Obama a set of expectations radically disconnected from rationality. He cannot possibly match the fantasies he inspires in some. It's worth wondering whether eight years of equal but opposite irrationality - the hysterically negative coverage of George W. Bush - has produced its own counter-response. Or whether that strand of new-age therapeutics, the Dr. Phil/Oprah "self-realization" claptrap, has warped U.S. politics into a kind of abysmal "healing workshop." That would certainly account for some Americans thinking they've elected a Lightworker rather than a president.

The press should be trimming these fantasies, not constructing them. But it's easier to sigh than to analyze. So on inauguration day, don't be surprised if you read a story that begins (alas, poor Burke) ... "and surely never lighted on this orb, which he hardly seemed to touch ..."

Down.